The Energy Report - I Fought the Fed REDUX

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Here comes Ben with that big gun, I fought the Fed and the ... Fed won. I fought the Fed and the Fed and Won. They needed money so they printed some, I fought the Fed and The Fed won, I fought and the Fed and the Fed won. I thought the data was a launching pad, thought the race was won. Well Ben says the jobs market is bad, I fought the Fed and the Fed won. I fought the Fed and the Fed won. Rates will stay down until the Fed is done, I Fought the Fed and the Fed Won. I fought the Fed and the Fed Won.

Don't fight the Fed and don't fight Ben Bernanke. When he says rates are going to stay low until 2014 or 2015, you had better believe him. The Fed Chairman sent global commodity markets and stock markets soaring as he warned Fed fund futures traders and any other bond vigilante that wanted to listen, don't get ahead of yourself. Instead of celebrating a slew of better than expected jobs reports, Ben seems to suggest that it is really smoke and mirrors. Oh sure, Ben said he was surprised at the data but he warned that it really does not seem to jive with the pace of the economic expansion. He seems to suggest that job growth is not normal and to see what he thinks is solid jobs growth then we will need to see much stronger economic growth.

So how does the Fed promote economic growth? Well folks it is easy! Easy money that is. Those that thought a QE 3d was off the table better get ready to put it back on. The printing presses are ready and waiting and full of ink.
That brought the risk trade back on as precious metals and grains and copper that enjoyed a nice ride yet oil was subdued with hopes that we can still avoid a conflict with Iran. An AP report had traders readjusting their risk premium as it appears there is still a small chance that the world can negotiate our way out of the mess that Iran has put us in. The AP reported that Ira and six world powers have agreed to meet
April 13 for a new try at finding common ground on Tehran's nuclear program. The United States, Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China are involved in the talks which are down to negotiating where the talks are going to take place. So in other words, an attack on Iran's nuclear faculties should not happen before April 13 anyway.

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Phil Flynn
Research Division
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There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options.Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. PFGBEST, its officers and directors may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

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This article appears in: Investing , Commodities

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