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Rocky Brands (RCKY) Soars to a 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?


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Have you been paying attention to shares of Rocky Brands RCKY ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 9.5% over the past month. RCKY hit a new 52-week high of $30.15 in the previous session. Rocky Brands has gained 55.8% since the start of the year compared to the 5.9% move for the Consumer Discretionary sector and the 15.8% year-to-date return for its peer group.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on April 24, 2018, Rocky Brands reported EPS of $0.44 versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.25 while it missed the consensus revenue estimate by 0.35%.

For the current fiscal year, Rocky Brands is expected to post earnings of $1.5 per share on $246.9 million in revenues. This represents a 29.31% change in EPS on a -2.49% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.65 per share on $254.5 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 10% and 3.08%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Rocky Brands may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for RCKY? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Rocky Brands has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and D, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 19.6X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 14.4X versus its peer group's average of 16.2X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Rocky Brands, Inc. Price and Consensus

Rocky Brands, Inc. Price and Consensus | Rocky Brands, Inc. Quote

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Rocky Brands currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Rocky Brands passes the test. Thus, it seems as though RCKY shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

How Does Rocky Brands Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of Rocky Brands have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also looking good, including Iconix Brand Group ICON , Tailored Brands TLRD , and G-III Apparel Group, LTD. GIII , all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 9% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for RCKY, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.


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Iconix Brand Group, Inc. (ICON): Free Stock Analysis Report

G-III Apparel Group, LTD. (GIII): Free Stock Analysis Report

Tailored Brands, Inc. (TLRD): Free Stock Analysis Report

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.



This article appears in: Investing , Stocks
Referenced Symbols: RCKY , ICON , GIII , TLRD



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