Quantcast

2 Quick Moves for 18.7% Gains and Tax-Free Income


Shutterstock photo

By Michael Foster

Right now there are huge deals happening in a place far too few people care to look: municipal bonds.

Now before your eyes glaze over at the sight of the words aEURoemunicipal bonds,aEUR consider this: this unloved area of the market hands most Americans a shot at tax-free income . Plus, the 2 aEURoemuniaEUR funds IaEURtmm going to show you below are set to hand us double-digit upside, too, thanks to a ridiculous bargain sale thataEURtms way overdue for some quick aEURoesnap backaEUR gains.

But first, letaEURtms look at why now is the perfect time to jump into these unloved assets.

WhataEURtms Driving Our Shot at Big Gains and Income

There are two sources of profits from municipal bonds and muni-bond funds: capital gains and income from coupon payments.

The coupon payments are simple enough; the muni-bond is backed either by a municipality (say, the state of New York) or a project run by a municipality (for instance, a new toll bridge in Ohio). When the bonds are first written, the municipality agrees to pay interest payments to bondholders at a steady, consistent interval. These are the coupon payments.

A second, and sometimes more important, source of profits is the price of the bond itself. These bonds, like any asset, can be resold on the secondary market, and sometimes they sell for more or less than the original value of the bond itselfaEUR"that is, the amount of money the municipality first borrowed. When the bonds trade for more than their original price, theyaEURtmre trading at a premium (or aEURoeabove paraEUR); when under, theyaEURtmre trading at a discount (aEURoebelow paraEUR).

The best muni-bond fundsaEUR"like the 2 IaEURtmll introduce in a couple more paragraphsaEUR"take advantage of this to buy the right municipal bonds at the right time; that is, when theyaEURtmre trading at a discount and are set to go up.

In most cases, there are 3 reasons why a bond will trade at a discount: thereaEURtms something wrong with the municipality (itaEURtms going bankrupt); its credit rating has been downgraded; or the market is simply panicking and selling off munis. YouaEURtmre best to avoid the first situation, but the latter two can be opportunitiesaEUR"especially the third one, which is exactly where we are today.

A aEURoeDoor-CrasheraEUR in Muni-Bond Funds

One big reason for recent weakness in muni bonds is the inevitable increase in interest rates thataEURtms coming in 2018 and beyond. Trouble is, the belief that municipal bonds always go down when rates go higher is just plain false.

From 2004aEUR"06, during the biggest interest-rate hike in a generation, municipal bonds went up nearly 10%; while 1994aEUR"95 and 1999aEUR"2000, other periods of interest-rate hikes, saw muni bonds fall slightly:


Note also that the interest-rate hikes in the late 1980s and mid-90s were almost identical, yet in the first instance, muni bonds went up over 5%, and in the second, munis went down nearly 5%aEUR"although they quickly recovered and were up within two years. Obviously, thereaEURtms something else going on.

The real truth is that muni bonds go up or down because of many factors. Interest rates are just oneaEUR"and a much smaller one than many others. Yet the fear of rate hikes has done this to the iShares National Municipal Bond ETF ( MUB ) :

Snapshot of a Discount


A 2.2% decline in just 2018 is a lot for normally placid munis, especially when we consider that credit ratings for many municipal-bond issuers are rising and the improving economy is boosting revenue for counties and states. Higher corporate profits, lower unemployment and rising wage and economic growth all mean many municipalities are in better financial health than they have been in years. Yet muni bonds have been falling.

ThataEURtms our opportunity for a contrarian bet on one of the safest asset classes out there.

2 Quick Buys to Double Your Muni Gains

The best news is that thereaEURtms a way to supercharge our contrarian bet on oversold muni bonds: muni-bond closed-end funds (CEFs) .

Specifically, what we want to do is find CEFs whose market price has fallen faster than their net asset value ( NAV ), or the actual market price of the fundaEURtms underlying portfolio holdings. Since CEFs are often priced differently than their portfolio value, unlike ETFs and mutual funds, this is pretty easy to do.

For instance, look at the PIMCO CA Municipal Income II Fund ( PCK ) , a 5.2% yielder that has seen its portfolio fall 2.4% on a total-return basisaEUR"while its market price has fallen a whopping 18.7%:

PCK Is Absurdly Oversold


This is a prime example of the market overselling a solid fund, creating a rare buying opportunity. The result is a fund that is trading at a discount to its NAV, even though it started the year trading at a 17% premium !

A Quick Drop in Market Price


This is an opportunity to buy a great-performing fund at a rare discount.

The same goes for the Dreyfus Strategic Municipal Bond Fund ( DSM ) , although the story isnaEURtmt as extreme here. This fund is down 10.2% on the market, even though the fundaEURtms portfolio is roughly flat for the year:

Why the Fast Selloff?


Such a violent selloff is a buying opportunity! That means this is a great play on the coming municipal-bond recovery, especially since it means DSMaEURtms 2.8% premium to NAV has fallen to a discount of over 8% in 2018 alone:

A Sudden Discount to Jump On


With PCKaEURtms 5.2% tax-free dividend yield and DSMaEURtms 5.6% yield, also tax-free, you can create a mini-muni portfolio of these two funds to get a dividend yield thataEURtms almost impossible to find in the stock market. And thataEURtms before you even include the fact that your stock dividends are taxed, while muni income isnaEURtmt for most Americans.

And these dividends are stable because muni bonds almost never default (the default rate is less than 0.01%) and the creditworthiness of many municipalities is going up.

Revealed: My 4 Top Picks for 8% Dividends and Quick 20%+ Upside

The 2 funds above are perfectly positioned to gain as municipal bonds snap back, but you can bank evenA higher A yields andA bigger A upside in the next 12 months with 4 other funds myA proprietary 5-point CEF-picking system A just released.

One of these incredible income plays even hands youA an 8.1% dividend yield!

And before you ask, yes, this payout is safe, easily covered by the gains and income this off-the-radar fundaEURtms portfolio is throwing off.

In fact,A this cash machine is one of the lowest-risk investments IaEURtmve ever seen.

HereaEURtms why: letaEURtms say you buy $100,000 worth of this rock-solid pick today.A By spring 2019, youaEURtmll be sitting onA a nice $8,100 in dividends alone.

Sure, the income is great, but that high yield also gives you extra insurance because it means youaEURtmll have already recouped 8.1% of your original buy in cash! In 12 years, those outsized dividends will have handed you your complete investment backA in full.

ThataEURtms to say nothing of the gains youaEURtmll get from this blockbuster fund and the 3 other picks my proven system just released.A IaEURtmll share the names and all my research on all 4 of these stout dividend plays with you when you click here .

Because thanks to each of these fundsaEURtm outsized discounts to NAV, IaEURtmve got each one pegged forA easy 20% price upside in the next 12 monthsaEUR" including that incredible 8.1% yielder I just mentioned.

That means our hypothetical investor above would already have a nice $28,100 in gains and incomeA on this one fund alone A by the time next springA rolls in!

DonaEURtmt miss out on this incredible profit opportunity.A Click here to get the full storyaEUR"names, tickers, buy-under prices and everything you need to know before you buyaEUR"on all 4 of these off-the-radar cash machines now .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.





This article appears in: Investing , Options
Referenced Symbols: MUB , NAV , PCK , DSM



More from BNK Invest

Subscribe







BNK Invest
Contributor:

BNK Invest

Market News, Investing












Research Brokers before you trade

Want to trade FX?