Best and Worst Nasdaq Stocks Now
While the stock market has been on fire since early March, the gains haven't been evenly distributed. Many of the truly outsized profits have come from leading Nasdaq stocks.
Wall Street celebrated when the S&P 500 recently crossed above 1,000, since it was almost exactly a 50% retracement from the March bottom. The Nasdaq Composite, however, is now up close to 60% from its low. At one point in July, the index rose for an amazing 12 straight days. Simply put, the Nasdaq has been white hot, and it's racking up some of its best gains ever.
One aspect the media isn't focusing on is that federal government spending rose by 10.9%, and that artificially distorted the second-quarter GDP figure. During the second quarter, imports declined by 15.1%, while exported declined by 7%, so an improving trade balance boosted the second-quarter GDP figure. The bottom line is that U.S. economic output has now fallen four straight quarters, which is the first time that has happened since they started keeping quarterly numbers over 60 years ago.
But just having four letters to your ticker symbol doesn't make you a buy-not according to my award-winning system. My team and I test and retest stocks until we find the very best. By taking my latest research, let's run through three of the best and three of the worst Nasdaq stocks to own.
The Heores List - Three Nasdaq Stocks to Buy Now
Leading off the heroes list is Amazon.com (AMZN). Don't be fooled into thinking that Amazon is just about books. Nowadays they sell just about everything that can be sold. The company has been a big help to budget-conscious consumers who have been squeezed by the recession.
The online bookseller recently reported Q2 earnings of 32 cents a share, which was a penny ahead of expectations. The shares are up an amazing 62% so far this year, and that's coming off a weak holiday season at the beginning of the year, so I expect a strong finish to 2009. Expect even more great gains from Amazon.com.
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) is a stock that snuck up on almost everyone this year. Most folks on Wall Street thought that since housing is dead, house furnishings must be dead as well. Guess again. These analysts forget how well run BBBY is.
Plus, one of their top competitors, Linen's N Things, just went under, which was a big boost for Bed Bath & Beyond's bottom line. The fact is that recessions are great for strong businesses - assuming you're a survivor. The stock was also recently highlighted in Barron's. BBBY is an excellent stock to own.
Ross Stores (ROST) is my final strong buy. Are you surprised you haven't seen a classic tech stock yet? Don't be. The theme here is finding the strength in consumer spending. The fact is that consumers are willing to spend as long as they can find bargains.
Recently, Ross Stores dramatically increased its fiscal year profit guidance to a range of $2.62 per share to $2.72 per share. The previous range was $2.25 per share to $2.45 per share. That's a big increase, and it tells me that Ross is thriving while the high-end guys aren't doing so well. Their next earnings report is due in two weeks, and I'm expecting 40% earnings growth. Ross Stores is an outstanding buy.
The Stock Duds - Three Nasdaq Stocks to Shun
Leading off the "stocks to shun" list is Dell (DELL). This one shouldn't be a big surprise to you. Dell was a stock superstar during the tech bubble, but it's fallen on hard times. What Dell used to be good at was strong operating margins, especially for dealing in a product that's close to being a commodity. Unfortunately, the company became complacent, and their competitors started catching up with them. Soon sales and earnings suffered, and today that stock is merely a shadow of its former self. Dell may rebound some day, but for now, the stock is a strong sell.
Electronic Arts (ERTS) was another stock that could do no wrong. The company is famous for its stable of video games, especially titles like The Sims and Madden NFL. But like Dell, the company started getting cocky. Last year, they offered to buy Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) for $2 billion, but Take-Two didn't take the $2 billion. I knew this was a bad omen. I expect earnings for the third quarter to be about half what they were a year ago. That's not a good sign. Even if ERTS hits my earnings forecast for the year, the stock is still overpriced. If you own ERTS, my advice is to dump it ASAP.
My final stock dud for you is Symantec (SYMC). This company is best known for its Norton line of computer protection software. One of the dangers in owning shares of Symantec is that the stock is incredibly volatile. It's not unusual to see shares of SYMC vault up or down 10% to 20% in a given month. I'm not against volatility, but a stock has be extra strong to deserve a passing mark from me, and Symantec doesn't get it. The company just reported 34 cents a share, which was a penny below expectations. As a result, the stock plunged 14% in one day. In this environment, only the strong survive. Expect to see a wave of downward revisions on Wall Street. Symantec is another strong sell.
More from Louis Navellier: