2007 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis
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New Home Sales
Definition
New home sales measure the number of newly constructed homes with a committed sale during the month. The level of new home sales indicates housing market trends and, in turn, economic momentum and consumer purchases of furniture and appliances. Why Investors Care

Released on 1/26/07 For Dec 2006
New Home Sales - Level - SAAR
 Actual 1,120,000  
 Consensus 1,050,000  
 Consensus Range 1,020,000  to  1,100,000  
 Previous 1,047,000  

Highlights
There's more good news from the housing sector. New home sales rose 4.8 percent in December to a higher-than-expected annual rate of 1.120 million. Supply, as it did in yesterday's existing homes sales report, fell, down to 5.9 months from 6.1 months in November. And prices, as they also did in the existing home sales report, were firm, at a median $235,000 for a small month-to-month gain and a mild 1.5 percent year-on-year decline. Median price for an existing home is $222,000, unchanged year-on-year.

Excessive weakness in the housing sector is, or at least has been, one of the biggest risks to the economy. Though housing supply is still high and indications of strengthening sales are still tentative, more and more signs are pointing to stabilization in the sector in what would be a big success for the Federal Reserve and its efforts to guide the economy on a soft landing. Treasuries eased and the dollar firmed in initial reaction to the data.

Market Consensus Before Announcement
New home sales rose 3.4 percent in November to an annual rate of 1.047 million units. As with existing home sales, supply did ease, falling to 6.3 months vs. 6.7 months in October. A further decline in supply would be good for new construction but even holding steady would likely be seen as a positive given the significant decline in November.

New home sales Consensus Forecast for December 06: 1.05 million-unit rate
Range: 1.02 million to 1.10 million-unit rate
Trends
[Chart] There is no question that lower interest rates boost home sales. Other factors also impact housing decisisions, such as employment and income growth, and wealth stemming from stock market gains.
Data Source: Haver Analytics

2007 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/26 2/28 3/26 4/25 5/24 6/26 7/26 8/24 9/27 10/25 11/29 12/28
Released For: Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov


 
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