| 2008 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis | ||||||||||||||
| Resource Center » U.S. & International Recaps | Release Dates | Why Investors Care | Today's Calendar
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| Jobless Claims | ||||||||||||||
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Definition New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smoothes out weekly volatility. Why Investors Care | ||||||||||||||
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Highlights | ||||||||||||||
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Market Consensus Before Announcement
Initial jobless claims spiked 38,000 in the week ending March 29 to 407,000 for the worst reading since Hurricane Katrina in September 2005. Continuing claims also confirmed trouble in the labor market, jumping 97,000 to 2.937 million in data for the March 22 week and the highest reading since mid 2004. The sudden leap of initial claims over the 400,000 level breached a psychological barrier and has raised concern about the depth of current economic weakness. Dipping back below 400,000 would be a boost to equity markets. Jobless Claims Consensus Forecast for 4/5/08: 386,000 Range: 375,000 to 410,000 | ||||||||||||||
Trends
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