2007 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis
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Leading Indicators
Definition
A composite index of ten economic indicators that should lead overall economic activity. This indicator was initially compiled by the Commerce Department but is now compiled and produced by The Conference Board. It has been revised many times in the past 30 years - particularly when it has not done a good job of predicting turning points. Why Investors Care

Released on 10/18/07 For Sep 2007
Leading Indicators - M/M change
 Actual 0.3%  
 Consensus 0.3%  
 Consensus Range -0.3%  to  0.6%  
 Previous -0.6 %  

Highlights
The Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators rose 0.3 percent in September vs. a 0.8 percent loss in August. The largest positives in September were a slowing in vendor deliveries, a fall in jobless claims, and a rise in the stock market. The only negatives were a decline in building permits and a widening in the spread between the federal funds rate and the 10-year Treasury note.

Market Consensus Before Announcement
The Conference Board's index of leading indicators fell 0.6 percent in August, not quite reversing a 0.7 percent rise in July. The largest negatives in August were consumer confidence, jobless claims, and the stock market.

Leading indicators Consensus Forecast for September 07: +0.3 percent
Range: -0.3 to +0.6 percent

2007 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/23 3/22 4/19 5/17 6/21 7/19 8/20 9/20 10/18 11/21 12/20
Released For: Dec Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov


 
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