2007 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis
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EIA Petroleum Status Report
Definition
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) provides weekly information on petroleum inventories in the U.S., whether produced here or abroad. The level of inventories helps determine prices for petroleum products. Why Investors Care

Released on 1/18/07 For wk 1/12 2007
Crude oil inventories (weekly change)
 Actual 6.8M barrels  
 Previous -5.0 M barrels  

Highlights
Stocks of crude and refined products ballooned in the Jan. 12 week, data that show levels at or above the top end of historical ranges and that will weigh further on oil prices. Crude oil inventories rose 6.8 million barrels to 321.5 million. Inventories of gasoline jumped 3.5 million barrels with inventories of distillates, including home-heating oil, up 0.9 million. Gains in refined products were posted despite cutbacks by refineries, which operated at only 87.9 percent of capacity vs. 91.5 percent the week before.

Oil prices fell sharply in immediate reaction to the results. Lower oil prices will help ease inflationary pressures but are also likely to stimulate economic growth, a possible net negative for the Treasury market. Lower oil prices will cut into profit margins for oil producers and limit demand for new oil equipment, but otherwise the dip is good news for the stock market.

Trends
[Chart] As is evident from the chart, crude oil stocks can fluctuate dramatically over the year. When oil prices nearly reached $50 per barrel in August 2004, financial market players began to monitor crude oil inventories. It is not surprising to see sharp price hikes in crude oil when inventories are falling. Conversely, one would expect price declines when inventories are rising.
Data Source: Haver Analytics

 
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