2008 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis
Resource Center »  U.S. & International Recaps   |   Release Dates   |   Why Investors Care    |   Today's Calendar

2-Year Note Auction
Definition
Treasury notes are sold at regularly scheduled public auctions. Competitive bids at these auctions determine the interest rate paid on each Treasury note issue. Twenty primary dealers (as of November 30, 2007) are authorized and obligated to submit competitive tenders at Treasury auctions. Dealers can hold, resell, or trade the securities with other firms. The Treasury usually announces the size, date and time of the monthly two-year note auction on the third or fourth Monday of each month, with the auction taking place two days later. The 2-year note is issued (settled) on the last day of the month. In the event of the last day falling on a weekend or holiday, the security is settled on the first business day of the subsequent month. Why Investors Care

Yield Awarded
2.237 %

Highlights
Results were mixed for the monthly 2-year auction, but the Treasury is probably pleased in any case given the large $24 billion offering size. Coverage was solid at 2.33 but the stop-out rate at 2.237 percent was 1/2 basis point above expectations. Indirect bidders only took down 19 percent of the offering, a record low and far below the 36 percent average. Non-competitive bids totaled only $597 million, about $150 million below average. The indirect bidder and non-competitive bid totals indicate that demand among retail customers and small investors was definitely below normal. Upcoming Treasury supply including a 5-year auction tomorrow and 30-year and 10-year auctions next week likely hurt demand. The longer term prospect of rising offering sizes, the result of the deepening budget deficit, may also be a factor. Treasury yields rose in immediate reaction to the results.

Trends
[grid]
[Chart] When the 2-year note is higher than the federal funds rate, it usually suggests that bond investors are expecting the federal funds rate to rise. Conversely, when the 2-year note is lower than the fed funds rate, it suggests that investors are anticipating a rate cut.
Data Source: Haver Analytics | Consensus Data Source: Market News International and Thomson Financial

 
powered by [Econoday]