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2007 U.S. Economic Events & Analysis

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10-Year Note Announcement

Definition
Treasury notes are sold at regularly scheduled public auctions. The competitive bids at these auctions determine the interest rate paid on each Treasury note issue. Twenty-three primary dealers are authorized and obligated to submit competitive tenders at Treasury auctions. Dealers can hold, resell, or trade the securities with other firms. The Treasury announces the amount, date and time of the 10-year note auction four times a year - on the first Wednesday of February, May, August and November. The note is auctioned the following week, usually on Thursday and it is issued (settled) on the 15th of the month. If the 15th falls on a weekend or a holiday, it is issued on the next business day. The U.S. Treasury also announces a re-opening** of the 10-year note at the beginning (usually the second week of the month) of March, June, September, and December. The 10-year note is then auctioned later in the week (usually on Thursday) and issued on the 15th of the month with the same exception if it is a weekend or holiday.

**According to the Treasury, "In a reopening, we issue an additional amount of a previously-issued note. The reopened security has the same maturity date and interest rate as the original security; however, compared to the original security, the reopened security has a different issue date and usually a different purchase price. If the price determined at the reopening exceeds the par value of the security, you will owe a premium. Also, when buying a reopened security, you must pay the interest the security earned before you bought it; however, we will pay this interest -- it's called "accrued interest" -- back to you in your first semiannual interest payment."

Why Investors Care?
Individual investors can participate in Treasury auctions through a securities dealer or via the Treasury Direct program. The Treasury Direct program saves on brokerage commissions, but the commission is nominal and eliminates a lot of paper work and administrative hassle. Brokers facilitate the purchases and sales of Treasuries in the secondary market, which is handy for buying Treasuries at times other than scheduled auctions or with maturities other than those offered by standard new issues.

Interest rates on Treasury securities are determined in the market; the Federal Reserve does not set them. However, bond investors are sensitive to Federal Reserve policy and thus market rates will mirror policy expectations. Usually, bond market players are forward-looking and this means that interest rates on Treasury securities will move in the direction of Fed policy with a lead. As a result, one is more likely to see rising interest rates on Treasury yields during an expansion (and falling yields during economic slowdowns) in advance of policy changes by the Federal Reserve.