Which Industries Stand to Benefit From Same-Sex Marriage?
While gay marriage still has half of the Supreme Court's robes
in a bunch and Catholic bishops hunkered in total
prayer and meat-fasting mode
, more civilized parts of the world like, oh say,
have found themselves on the side of civil rights -- and laughing
all the way to the bank.
Until recently, same-sex marriage proponents have largely focused the upsides of legalization -- aside from keeping the Constitution constitutional -- in terms of the personal, social, and cultural benefits of taking part in the institution. For those in society unmoved by the touchy-feely appeals, here's a motivating factor that might just turn the bigotry tide: money.
The LGBT community has serious buying power -- some nearly $800 billion worth, in fact, in this country alone. When legalized marriage is open to this demographic, whole industries and institutions get to dip into its collective cookie jar. Minyanville is here to tell you which ones will benefit the most.
Some of the most obvious and immediate beneficiaries of the same-sex walk down the aisle are the myriad enterprises that play a part -- both directly and indirectly -- in the wedding industry. Within the first year of enacting the Marriage Equality Act in June 2011, New York City's economy got a $259 million boost -- well on its way to surpassing the $400 million the State's Senate Independent Democratic Conference had projected over the first three years combined.
Through spending in area hotels, restaurants, catering halls, bridal boutiques, beauty salons and suppliers, caterers, etc. and the resulting tax revenue, gay and lesbian marriage made enough money to pay the city's parks and recreation budget for the year (or to buy each resident three Big Gulps). 2013 is expected to raise $300,000 just in marriage licenses and ceremony fees.
Let's not forget large, public companies like hotel chains, rental car agencies, jewelers, and big box wedding registry retailers that wouldn't have otherwise been patronized.
Minivan and SUV Manufacturers
Love. Marriage. Baby carriage. Minivan.
In researching the purchasing decisions of people in their child-rearing years (ages 28-45), TrueCar.com found that the family roadster is still the auto of choice. "Generation X buyers... chose cars that were comfortable and convenient for their lifestyle," said analyst Kristen Andersson. "They chose larger, more luxurious cars to take their families on vacations or kids to play soccer with ample room to store equipment and luggage."
Of the top ten models purchased by this demographic, only two -- the BMW M3 Sedan and Chevrolet ( GM ) Aveo -- didn't fall into the minivan or SUV category. The Volkswagen ( VLKAY ) Routan, Nissan Quest and Armada, Honda ( HMC ) Odyssey, Toyota ( TM ) Land Cruiser and Sienna, Volvo XC90, and Infiniti QX56, respectively, comprised the rest of the list.
In addition to higher profit margins for automakers, bigger cars generally mean less fuel efficiency and costlier insurance premiums -- a boon to both the Exxons and Geicos of the economy.
Speaking of insurance, Progressive ( PGR ) et al.'s same-sex marriage payday isn't limited to its auto arm. The life and term insurance business largely relies on partnering up -- unless the majority of policyholders are eccentrics who are leaving everything to the local research institute on captive parrot breeding.
Real Estate and Home Improvement
Another fairly predictable corollary to settling down is, literally, settling down. According to 2012 data from the National Association of Realtors, 65% of homeowners are married couples . Down the aisle to over the threshold has been a societal procession for generations and there's no evidence to suggest those in same-sex relationships would deviate from that custom.
Moreover, gay and lesbian homeowners invest more in maintaining and improving their properties. In 2009, during the height of the economic downturn, a national consumer survey found the demographic spent twice as much as its straight neighbors on renovations, reporting higher rates of purchase at Home Depot (HD) Lowe's (LOW), Sears (SHLD), Best Buy (BBY), and Costco (COST).
"Gay men and lesbians have a reputation of being major home improvement shoppers and this survey reaffirms that," said Matt Tumminello, president of marketing firm Target 10. "Renovating and refurbishing homes is in many ways a part of gay culture. Even in bad economic times, they are not stopping."
On the local level, we saw how same-sex marriages put a few more bucks in New York City's coffers. In 2004, the Congressional Budget Office studied the economic impact on the federal budget and found that while Adam and Steve aren't going to wipe out the deficit, they will make a $1 billion dent every year over the next decade .
This figure absorbs the cost of the government no longer being permitted to deny health insurance coverage, the right to file joint federal tax returns, Social Security survivor benefits, estate tax waivers, and a number of perks to which partners with opposite reproductive organs are automatically entitled.
Assuming same-sex partners haven't unlocked the secret to lifelong commitment, these couples are likely to follow their straight counterparts' lead to Splitsville roughly 50% of the time. While it's true that, statistically speaking, gay and lesbian marriages currently enjoy twice the success rate as traditional ones, the credit is owed less to the demographic as a whole and more to a generation of already long-established relationships finally reaping their civil rights.
"[T]he partners getting married tend to be those who have already been together for some time," says attorney, mediator, and author Frederick Hertz. "They already have weathered the stormy middle years of coupledom, and they are consciously committed to being a family... Think about it -- the couples with shakier relationships are not likely to travel across state lines to get married -- and there certainly aren't any 'shotgun' marriages in the gay community!"
It's a cynical outlook, for sure. But when this groundbreaking first wave of equality has passed, the spousal stick-to-itiveness won't be far behind, thus paving a fresh path for another caravan of station wagon chasers.
Same-sex marriage is good for business -- all business -- or at least 278 of them representing nearly every sector of the economy. In the interest of fairness as well as their own bottom lines, the biggest corporations in the world, including Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Citigroup (C), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Goldman Sachs (GS), Nike (NKE), Starbucks (SBUX), Viacom (VIA), and Disney (DIS), joined forces to sign a friend-of-the-court filing against the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA).
The brief read:
Our organizations are engaged in national and international competition- for talent, customers, and business. That competition demands teamwork, and teamwork thrives when the organization minimizes distracting differences, and focuses on a common mission. DOMA's core mandate-that we single out some of our married colleagues and treat them as a lesser class-upsets this imperative.
Should the Supreme Court heed the business community's pleas and overturn DOMA, perhaps the those on opposing side will learn to find comfort in a "If you can't beat 'em, profit off 'em! " approach.