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Posted
9/7/2012 9:04:00 PM
Referenced Stocks:ABG;AN;LAD;PAG;SAH
For the past two years,Lithia Motors ( LAD ) has delivered strong earnings and revenue gains. In 2010-11, earnings surged 69% and 112% on revenue growth of 16% and 27%. The Street expects a 39% pop in this year's EPS while revenue advances 21%. The Oregon-based company operates automotive franchises of new and used vehicles and services. As of July, Lithia had 85 stores in 11 states along with a website. In the most recent quarter, new vehicles accounted for about 56% of total revenue. Second quarter earnings grew 41%. The Street had expected 17% growth. Q2 revenue jumped 26%. The fundamentals for Lithia are best considered in context. The Retail-Wholesale Automotive group includes some chains that sell only used vehicles. Lithia sells both new and used, and four other companies in the group have a similar profile. So let's look at the data vs. similar companies. Lithia's pretax margin was 3.2% last year, its best since 2005.AutoNation ( AN ) came in at 3.4%, Ashbury Automotive ( ABG ) at 2.2%,Penske Automotive ( PAG ) at 2.2% andSonic Automotive ( SAH ) at 1.7%. Return on equity, a gauge of financial efficiency, was 15.3% last year at Lithia. AutoNation was 14.4%; Ashbury, 19.3%, Penske, 15%; and Sonic, 16.9%. Lithia's five-year earnings stability factor is 39 on a scale of 0 (calm) to 99 (erratic). AutoNation's is 23, Ashbury's 51, Penske's 40 and Sonic's 47. Operating cash flow per share was 36% greater than EPS at Lithia. AutoNation was 42%; Ashbury, 58%; Penske, 32%; and Sonic, 89%. The annualized dividend yield for Lithia is 1.3%. AutoNation and Ashbury do not pay dividends. Penske's dividend yield is 1.7%, and Sonic's is 0.5%. Lithia leads the pack overall with a Composite Rating of 96. Penske is next at 94; Ashbury, 90; AutoNation, 89; and Sonic, 81. On Thursday, Lithia cleared a 30.10 buy point in a tight consolidation. The pattern could be seen as a three-weeks-tight or a square box. The entry is the same regardless. Volume was 21% Thursday but came in heavy Friday. The buy zone is up to 31.61. |
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