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Bears Claim Victory on a Back-and-Forth Day

By: Schaeffer's Investment Research
Posted: 7/2/2013 4:21:00 PM
Referenced Stocks: F;GM;JCP;JPM;TSLA

"Today was a repeat of yesterday," summarized Schaeffer's Senior Technical Strategist Ryan Detrick, CMT. "Strength early in the day, and then sellers late." The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) traded in a range between 15,049.22 and 14,870.51, ultimately settling with a 0.3% loss. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) , Detrick noted, "continues to have trouble with its 50-day moving average."

Continue reading for more on today's market, including :


The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI - 14,932.41) took investors on a topsy-turvy ride today, entering positive territory shortly after the open, hitting its intraday low around 2:30 p.m. ET, and regaining strength as the closing bell approached to finally settle with a loss of 42.6 points, or 0.3%. Of its 30 components, 12 closed higher on the day, with JPMorgan Chase ( JPM ) gaining 1.3% to lead the charge. At the back of the pack was General Electric (GE), dropping 1.9%.

As referenced above, the S&P 500 Index (SPX - 1,614.08) was unable to hurdle its 50-day moving average, closing with a fractional loss of 0.9 point, or less than 0.1%. At its intraday high, the SPX touched 1,624.26, just south of the critical 1,625 level (which coincides currently with the 50-day). The Nasdaq Composite (COMP - 3,433.40) also edged fractionally lower today, shedding 1.1 points, or less than 0.1%.

The CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX - 16.44) rose for the first day in six -- albeit barely. After spending the majority of the session below breakeven, the VIX settled up less than 0.1 point, or 0.4%.



A Trader's Take :

"Today was a very light news day, and honestly, the biggest developments were the protests in Egypt," noted Detrick. "With the July 4th holiday looming, tomorrow could be really boring for the market. Volume was very light today, so expect tomorrow to be even lighter, given that it is a half-day. Everyone at this point is waiting on Friday's jobs report -- there's not much more to say."

3 Things to Know About Today's Market :

5 Stocks We Were Watching Today :

  1. Optimistic Facebook (FB) speculators targeted front-month, out-of-the-money positions in an aggressive short-term play.
  2. Groupon (GRPN) was handed a vote of confidence from Wunderlich Securities this morning.
  3. Option Trends across the TV sector -- tracking notable speculative activity in DISH Network (DISH), TiVo (TIVO), and CBS Corporation (CBS).
  4. J.C. Penney ( JCP ) put buyers went against the grain today, scooping up front-month bearish bets.
  5. Micron Technology (MU) was swarmed by long-term call buyers, who are looking for a move to historical highs.


For a look at today's options movers and commodities activity, head to page 2.



Commodities :

Mounting geopolitical tensions in Syria and Egypt translated into a boon for black gold. By the time the dust settled, crude oil for August delivery tacked on $1.61, or 1.6%, to finish at $99.60 per barrel -- the highest close for a front-month contract since May 2012.

On the other hand, gold futures finished lower for the first session in three, pressured by a strengthening dollar. By the close, August-dated gold retreated $12.30, or 1%, to end at $1,243.40 an ounce.