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Dollar Weakens, Gold Surges In Early European Trade



By Martin Essex, Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

LONDON -(Dow Jones)- The dollar weakened further in early European business Thursday as traders continued to adjust to the prospect that U.S. interest rates are likely to remain low for many more months. Meanwhile, gold prices hit fresh record highs, but the oil price eased back.

The dollar "has continued to come under further pressure... as it slumped across the board against a basket of currencies hitting levels last seen in early 2008," said Michael Hewson, analyst at CMC Markets.

"The dollar was additionally undermined by the decision of the Russian central bank to add Canadian dollars to its reserves to reduce its exposure to the greenback, the break through parity against the Swiss franc, 14-year lows against the yen, and the surging gold price, which gained further on rumors that India may add to its October purchases," he added.

The dollar hit a 14-year low at 86.29 Japanese yen before rising to Y86.80 at 0750 GMT, still down from Y87.35 in late New York business Wednesday. The dollar index, measuring its value against a basket of currencies, hit a 15-month low at 74.17.

Meanwhile, the euro hit a five-month low against the Swiss franc before rallying sharply, sterling weakened and gold hit a new high at $1,195.50 per troy ounce. But January Nymex crude oil futures dipped briefly below $77 per barrel before stabilizing.

"The dollar's sharp declines have driven it either through or towards some critical levels against other currencies, with USD/CHF in particular pushing through parity for the first time since April 2008," said Gareth Berry at UBS.

"Some other major pairs, such as USD/CAD and AUD/USD, are also approaching the parity mark, and could make further inroads in the next few days when holiday conditions are likely to constrain liquidity," he added.

Dubai World's problems may also have hit the dollar Thursday. "The catalyst was the move by Dubai World late yesterday to seek a delay in debt payments. The main rating agencies are still considering whether such a move would constitute a default," said Royal Bank of Canada, in a note to clients. "News of Dubai World's expression of intent to seek a standstill and potential restructuring of its external liabilities is a significant negative surprise for the market," added Royal Bank of Scotland.

-By Martin Essex, Dow Jones Newswires; +44-20-7842-9464; martin.essex@ dowjones.com


  (END) Dow Jones Newswires
  11-26-090333ET
  Copyright (c) 2009 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

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