Direct-sell companyTupperware (
) offers two characteristics that income investors find
First, earnings growth is stable. The five-year EPS Stability
Factor is 4 on a scale that runs from 0 (calm) to 99 (wild).
Second, the dividend shows growth. The quarterly payout has
increased from 22 cents a share to 36 cents a share from 2009 to
2012 -- a 64% increase in roughly three years. The annualized
yield is 2.2%.
Yet, two other factors are worth noting -- the changing
character of the company and recent chart action.
Tupperware passed a tipping point in 2008 when emerging
markets accounted for 50% of total revenue for the first time. In
the first nine months of 2012, emerging markets drove 62% of
The company is increasingly an emerging markets play. Risk
comes with it. A strong U.S. dollar can hurt results. In Q3,
revenue dropped 1% vs. the year-ago period. However, excluding
currency, sales rose 6%.
If you run a five-year comparison screen between the stock
price and the U.S. dollar index, they don't track. So currency is
an influencing factor, not a determining factor.
The big plus for Tupperware's emerging market strategy is the
potential for faster growth, though that hasn't shown up big-time
Earnings grew 20% in both 2010 and 2011, but growth is
expected to drop to 12% when 2012 results are announced before
the open Jan. 29. The Street sees 11% EPS growth this year along
with a revenue pop of almost 6%.
Other fundamentals look stronger. Pretax margin rose to 13.9%
in 2011, the best in at least nine years.
Return on equity, a gauge of financial efficiency, hit 42% in
2011, well above the 17% level associated with top stocks.
The recent flap surroundingHerbalife (
) may have created an opportunity on the chart for Tupperware. A
hedge fund manager slammed Herbalife's business model. Although
no such questions surround Tupperware, the stock appeared to
correct in sympathy.
The pullback stopped at the 50-day line, and the subsequent
bounce put Tupperware in a buy zone. The stock also is back in a
buy zone from a 63.69 buy point it cleared in November.