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Time to ride the Vale rally?

By Emerging Money September 14, 2012, 09:00:41 AM EDT

Down 31.57%, Brazilian mining company Vale SA ( VALE , quote ) has soared in the last week of market action, and will move even higher now that QE3 has arrived.

[caption id="attachment_58542" align="alignright" width="300" caption="Off road truck at Vale's Conceiçao Mine, Minas Gerais state, Brazil"] Image courtesy Vale [/caption]

Vale could be considered, like much of the Brazilian economy, a foreign subsidiary of China. Not only is China Brazil's largest trading partner, its demand for commodities sets the standard for how well the share price of companies such as Vale perform.

The raising of the takeover price by Glencore for Xstrata last week lifted the industrial metals and mineral sector in recent trading. However, investors should look at the long term value in Vale. Now trading around $18, it's not that far from its 52-week low of $15.77. The mean analyst target price over the next year of market action is $25.29.

Paying shareholders to wait for it to reach that price is the 3.26% dividend yield. The average dividend for a member of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is around 2%. The company also has the cash flow to raise the dividend in the future.

This healthy dividend income feature emanates from Vale's robust profit margin of 27.91%. At 41.26%, the operating margin is very strong too. The price-to-earnings ratio for Vale is under 6 , which is very bullish.

Even more bullish is the price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio. Investing legend Peter Lynch considers this to be one of the most important financial indicators. A PEG of 1 is considered to be healthy and the lower the PEG, the better. Vale has a PEG of just 0.46.

Down for the quarter, earnings-per-share growth is up 33.14% this year. With a short float of just 1.85%, traders are not looking for the stock to fall; a short float of 5% is considered to be troubling for a company. With a beta of 1.56, the stock is very volatile. This allows those with a long term perspective to buy at lower prices which enhances the dividend yield; leading to a higher total return when global growth strengthens.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, International, Stocks

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