By Dow Jones Business News,
January 29, 2014, 03:19:00 PM EDT
The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.5%.
"New Zealand's economic expansion has considerable momentum. Prices for New Zealand's export commodities remain very
high, especially for dairy products. Consumer and business confidence are strong and the rapid rise in net inward
migration over the past year has added to consumption and housing demand. Construction activity is being lifted by the
Canterbury rebuild and by work in Auckland to address the housing shortage. Continued fiscal consolidation will partly
offset the strength in demand. GDP grew by 3.5 percent in the year to September, and growth is expected to continue
around this rate over the coming year.
"While agricultural export prices are expected to come off their peak levels, overall export demand should benefit
from improving growth in the global economy. However, improvements in the major economies have required exceptional
monetary accommodation and there remains uncertainty about the timing of withdrawal of this stimulus and its effects,
especially on emerging market economies.
"Annual CPI inflation was 1.6 percent in 2013, and forward-looking measures of firms' pricing intentions have been
rising. Construction costs are increasing and risk feeding through to broader costs in the economy. At the same time,
there appears to have been some moderation in the housing market in recent months. The high exchange rate continues to
dampen inflation in the traded goods sector, but the Bank does not believe the current level of the exchange rate is
sustainable in the long run.
"While headline inflation has been moderate, inflationary pressures are expected to increase over the next two years.
In this environment, there is a need to return interest rates to more-normal levels. The Bank expects to start this
"The Bank remains committed to increasing the OCR as needed to keep future average inflation near the 2 percent target
mid-point. The scale and speed of the rise in the OCR will depend on future economic indicators."
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