TDS Reports Stellar Q1 - Analyst Blog

By Zacks.com May 07, 2012, 11:16:06 AM EDT

Telephone and Data Systems Inc. ( TDS ) has reported first quarter earnings per share of 48 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 35 cents. Results also improved 23% year over year from 39 cents per share earned in the year-ago quarter driven by growing demand for data services.

Revenues increased 4% year over year to $1,305.8 million in the reported quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,304 million. Adjusted OIBDA improved to $289 million from $281 million in the year-ago quarter.

U.S. Cellular (Wireless)

Revenues from the company's wireless subsidiary U.S. Cellular Corp. ( USM ) upped 3.3% year over year to $1,092.1 million in the first quarter. Service revenues grew 4% year over year to $1,023.8 million on account of higher inbound roaming and retail service revenues along with higher smartphone sales that drove data revenues.

Total retail service ARPU (average revenue per user) improved to $50.52 from $47.65 in the year-ago quarter on the back of strong adoption of smartphones and data plans. Post-paid ARPU increased to $54.00 from $51.21 in the year-ago quarter while churn rates deteriorated to 1.6% from 1.4% in first quarter 2011 due to severe competitive pricing.

U.S. Cellular lost 34,000 net retail customers in the reported quarter, bringing the total subscriber base to nearly 5.8 million (including 5.6 million retail customers). Retail customer losses were 38,000 in the post-paid while prepaid business registered an addition of 4,000 customers.

TDS Telecom (Wireline)

Revenue from the wireline segment grew a modest 3% year over year to $204.1 million.

In the reported quarter, incumbent local exchange carriers (ILEC) high-speed data customer base (residential and commercial) grew 2.7% year over year to 237,700. However, ILEC physical access lines (residential and commercial) slid 5% year over year to 476,100.

The competitive local exchange carrier (CLEC) high-speed data customer base (residential and commercial) and CLEC physical access lines (residential and commercial) declined to a respective 23,800 and 180,700 from 29,900 and 210,300 in the year-ago quarter.

Liquidity

Telephone and Data Systems exited the first quarter with $639 million of cash and cash equivalents compared with $606.4 million at the end of fiscal 2011. Long-term debt increased to $1,529.98 million from $1,529.85 million at year-end 2011. Free cash flow was $39.6 million, down from $175.1 million in the year-ago quarter.

Guidance

The company did not change its previous guidance for fiscal 2012. For the wireless segment, Telephone and Data Systems Service expects service revenue in the range of $4,050-$4,150 million and operating income in the range of $200-$300 million. Adjusted OIBDA is estimated in the range of $800-$900 million. The company's capital expenditure is expected to be approximately $850 million.

For the wireline segment, the company expects total revenue of $810-$840 million, adjusted OIBDA of $245-$275 million and operating income of $55-$85 million. Depreciation, amortization and accretion as well as capital expenditures are estimated to be approximately $190 million and $150-$180 million, respectively.

Our Analysis

Telephone and Data Systems continues to benefit from its several growth initiatives like 3G network expansion, increasing handset offerings, adoption of the Long-Term Evolution (LTE) technology in the wireless business, and aggressive deployment of Triple-Play bundled wireline services. Additionally, the company's expansion of IPTV services in new markets is also expected to aid revenue going forward.

However, fierce competition and heavy investment in an uncertain market condition may limit any upside to the company's earnings. Further, regulatory issues regarding Universal Service Fund are also likely to weigh on the company's near-term revenue growth.

We are currently maintaining our long-term Neutral rating on Telephone and Data Systems supported by a Zacks #3 (Hold) Rank.


 
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Business, Stocks

Referenced Stocks: TDS, USM



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