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Stocks Set to Shake Off Two-Day Slump

By Schaeffer's Investment Research April 20, 2012, 08:30:53 AM EDT

Bulls have reemerged after two days of selling, with futures on all three major market indexes pointed north of breakeven. Investors will be keeping their eyes trained on the 13,000 mark for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) , as well as the 1,375 level for the S&P 500 Index ( SPX ) , as we wrap up another week of whipsaw market activity. In addition to these key technical levels, a few interesting developments have popped up on the radar at Schaeffer's that could demand a bit of attention, including:

  • Senior Trading Analyst Bryan Sapp's breakdown of how stock picking has become lucrative, thanks to the choppy trading range of the S&P 500 e-Mini Futures contract.
  • the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Financial Services Index Fund ( IYG ) . Following a week chock-full of earnings releases from the financial sector, IYG's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) jumped to 37.25, its highest reading of the year.
  • the Russell 2000 Index ( RUT ) , and how a possible weekly close below zero by the MACD histogram is causing Senior Technical Strategist Ryan Detrick some concern.
Among equities in focus, Microsoft (MSFT ) and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG ) are set to jump after their quarterly results, while General Electric's (GE ) sale of its share in NBC Universal weighed on its bottom line.

And now, on to the numbers...

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange ( CBOE ) saw 1,468,901 call contracts traded on Thursday, compared to 971,043 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.66, while the 21-day moving average was 0.64.

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

Volatility indices

Currencies and Commodities

  • The U.S. dollar index has retreated this morning, with the greenback last seen 0.3% lower at $79.31.
  • Crude oil is pointed north, with the front-month contract 0.6% higher at $103.33 per barrel.
  • Gold futures are up 0.2% to trade at $1,645.20 an ounce.

Currencies and commodities

In earnings news, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD - 7.97) swung to a first-quarter loss of $590 million, or 80 cents per share, thanks to a $703-million charge stemming from its GlobalFoundries spin-off. Excluding items, AMD banked a per-share profit of 12 cents. Revenue, meanwhile, dropped 1.7% to $1.59 billion. The results beat analysts' expectations for adjusted earnings of 9 cents per share on $1.56 billion in sales. Traders showed a preference for near-term calls ahead of earnings, with the stock's SOIR sitting at 0.38. AMD is up 0.6% in pre-market trading.

Microsoft (MSFT - 31.01) said its fiscal third-quarter profit slipped 2.4% to $5.11 billion, or 60 cents per share, even as revenue improved 6% to $17.41 billion. Both figures bested Wall Street's estimates, which called for a profit of 57 cents per share on $17.18 billion in revenue. Analysts carry a positive outlook for the software concern, with 63% maintaining a "buy" or better recommendation toward the stock. MSFT is on pace to start the session with a 3.5% lead.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG - 430.78) banked a first-quarter profit of $62.7 million, or $1.97 per share, up 35% from the comparable quarter of 2011. Revenue rose by 26% to $640.6 million, boosted by a 12.7% increase in same-store sales. The results surpassed analysts' expectations for earnings of $1.93 per share on sales of $630.9 million. Short sellers increased their bearish exposure on CMG by 2.4% over the last two reporting periods, and short interest now accounts for a lofty 7.9% of the stock's available float. CMG is 0.7% higher ahead of the bell.

Finally, following the sale of its stake in NBC Universal, General Electric Company (GE - 19.14) said its first-quarter profit slipped 12% to $3.03 billion, or 29 cents per share. Excluding items, earnings rose to 34 cents, while revenue backpedaled 8.2% to $35.18 billion. The results were better than expected, with analysts calling for an adjusted per-share profit of 33 cents on $34.7 billion in sales. In the 20 sessions prior to last night's announcement, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange ( CBOE ), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) bought to open 4.05 calls for every put on the stock. GE is on pace to tack on 1% right out of the gate.

Earnings and Economic Data

There are no major economic reports scheduled for today, but Wall Street will chew on earnings results from McDonald's ( MCD ) , Under Armour (UA), Honeywell (HON) , Kimberly-Clark (KMB), and Schlumberger (SLB). Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com for more news as it breaks.

Overseas Trading

Stocks in Europe have elbowed their way modestly higher at midday, with upbeat sentiment data out of Germany once again luring buyers. After a positive reading earlier this week from the ZEW investor sentiment index, the Ifo Institute reported that its business confidence index arrived at a stronger-than-expected 109.9 in April. Meanwhile, banking giants BNP Paribas and Societe Generale outperformed in Paris after upgrades from Bank of America-Merrill Lynch. At last look, London's FTSE 100 is up 0.5%, the French CAC 40 has advanced 0.6%, and Germany's DAX has tacked on 1%.

Overseas markets

Unusual Put and Call Activity:

For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations .

Unusual options activity - puts

Unusual options activity - calls

Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Options

Referenced Stocks: CBOE, IYG, MCD, RUT, SPX



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BAC $ 13.24 0.03  0.23%
FB $ 24.32 0.74  2.95%
SIRI $ 3.58 0.04  0.99%
GE $ 23.53 0.13  0.55%
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MSFT $ 34.27 0.12  0.35%
INTC $ 23.93 0.12  0.50%
P $ 16.43 0.73  4.25%