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Solid August Macao gaming numbers hint at recovery

By Emerging Money September 07, 2012, 08:00:15 AM EDT

With solid August gaming numbers, Macao continues to see strength relative to the rest of the flailing Chinese economy ( FXI , quote ).

[caption id="attachment_72970" align="alignright" width="300" caption="Things are starting to look brighter in Macao"] Image Courtesy Fernando Nunes: http://data.moneycentral.msn.com/scripts/chrtsrv.dll?C1=0&C2=1&CA=0&CB=0&CC=0&CD=0&D4=1&DD=1&D5=0&D2=0&CE=0&CF=0&D8=0&DB=0&DC=0&D9=0&DA=0&D1=0&symbol=lvs%2cfxi%2cSPY&E1=0&width=612&height=258&LPR=2&AF=2&palette=2 [/caption]

The government of Macao released its August gaming numbers earlier this week; to the relief of investors long gaming stocks with exposure to the former Portuguese enclave, gaming revenue was solid juxtaposed to slowing growth in Mainland China.

Although revenue in Macao came in at only 5.5% higher year-over-year , this represented a $3.3 billion haul, the second highest total ever for the Special Administrative Region.

Given that Macao was able to rake in this much cash during a period of economic concern in Mainland China -- where most of its clients come from, in a month without a significant Chinese holiday, investors in casino stocks should be heartened by these results.

Until recently, casino stocks like Las Vegas Sands ( LVS , quote ), Wynn Resors ( WYNN , quote ), and Melco Crown Entertainment ( MPEL , quote ) have struggled as a result of concerns over both the Chinese and global economy.

While still cheap on a relative basis, casino stocks jumped upwards because of the massive risk-on trade that manifested itself in Thursday trading thanks to the European Central Bank announcing an increase in sovereign debt purchases.

If this move is a temporary shot in the arm, and the long-awaited pull back in equities materializes this fall, casino stocks could be a steal after another move lower . As China is expected to get back on track later this year, stocks like Las Vegas Sands, Wynn, and Melco will all likely benefit.

China has two major holidays coming up over the next five months with Golden Week in October and Chinese New Year in January/February. Both of these holidays should attract hundreds of thousands of punters to Macao.

As a result, you could consider starting a position in Macao gaming stocks here, as long as you keep some money on the sidelines to put into these stocks for when a pull-back arises.

Disclosure: Author and family are long MPEL, WYNN, LVS, and may engage in trading in these names in the next 72 hours.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, International, Stocks

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