Short-sellers increased their bets against the ETF market's
biggest fund focused on commercial real estate investment trusts,
the second-straight month they did so amid deepening concern
economic growth might be faltering.
The number of shares of the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate
Index Fund (NYSEArca:IYR) being shorted shot up 40 percent in
September after they rose almost 18 percent in August, according to
data compiled by IndexUniverse.
The increases come as the Fed has fretted about a flagging job
market, and actually launched its third round of "quantitative
easing" aimed at keeping borrowing costs low and stoking asset
prices. The central bank is worried that weak job growth could
derail growth in the world's biggest economy.
Some traders said the spike in IYR shorts could be outright
shorts expressing pessimism about REITs; or property holders
putting on hedges to protect gains in the market; or even active
traders looking to parse the REIT market by shorting one part of it
while remaining long another part of it.
"It could be part of a greater spread strategy," said Paul
Weisbruch, an ETF trader at King of Prussia, Pa.-based Street One
Financial. "IYR used to be the only way to play it, and now you
have more opportunity to play real estate with ETFs," Weisbruch
said.
He pointed to the iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage Plus Capped Index
Fund (NYSEArca:REM) as one notable and relatively new fund that
focuses on residential REITs. Interestingly, short interest in REM
dipped by almost 10 percent last month, according to data compiled
by IndexUniverse.
Weisbruch said that makes sense to him insofar as some traders
might just be interested in shorting commercial REITs while
remaining long residential property via a fund like REM.
IYR is up more than 29 percent in the past year, while REM has
risen 22.5 percent.
GLD Shorts
Much of the fretting about the economy has played out in the
gold market, which resumed its bull move in the run-up to the Fed's
announcement of "QE3."
While short interest in gold plummeted in August as that talk
about Fed intervention heated up, it actually moved higher in
September.
The number of shares short in SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEArca:GLD),
the biggest gold bullion ETF in the world, rose 8 percent last
month after falling by almost a third in the prior month.
Where it's all heading is anyone's guess, but the gold ETF
market is one place to read the tea leaves.
| Big Bets |
| Ticker |
Name |
% Float Short |
1 Month % Change |
$Short ($, M) |
| SPY |
SPDR S&P 500 |
25.56 |
-1.37 |
30,249.13 |
| IWM |
iShares Russell 2000 |
76.08 |
-0.37 |
13,965.35 |
| QQQ |
PowerShares QQQ |
10.37 |
2.52 |
3,602.17 |
| GLD |
SPDR Gold |
4.56 |
8.07 |
3,431.04 |
| XLE |
Energy Select SPDR |
38.69 |
0.05 |
3,011.23 |
| IYR |
iShares Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate |
43.12 |
40.20 |
2,093.20 |
| EEM |
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets |
5.13 |
-1.46 |
1,900.31 |
| XLF |
Financial Select SPDR |
21.08 |
-12.38 |
1,680.08 |
| XRT |
SPDR S&P Retail |
206.20 |
-13.79 |
1,669.12 |
| EWZ |
iShares MSCI Brazil |
18.61 |
-0.55 |
1,593.51 |
| Really Really Short |
| Ticker |
Name |
% Float Short |
1 Month % Change |
$Short ($, M) |
| XRT |
SPDR S&P Retail |
206.20 |
-13.79 |
1,669.12 |
| RTH |
Market Vectors Retail |
184.91 |
-42.37 |
39.19 |
| RKH |
Market Vectors Bank and Brokerage |
176.51 |
-0.93 |
46.22 |
| FXE |
CurrencyShares Euro |
169.18 |
15.57 |
680.46 |
| XOP |
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration &
Production |
144.71 |
-23.24 |
1,353.92 |
| FXY |
CurrencyShares Japanese Yen |
137.15 |
89.79 |
241.55 |
| DWAS |
PowerShares DWA SmallCap Technical Leaders |
85.47 |
79.19 |
10.20 |
| DRV |
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3x |
77.24 |
24.01 |
14.72 |
| IWM |
iShares Russell 2000 |
76.08 |
-0.37 |
13,965.35 |
| VXZ |
iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN |
75.76 |
88.44 |
97.94 |
Data is believed to be accurate; however, transient market
data is often subject to subsequent revision and correction by
the exchanges.
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