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Q4 Preview: Yahoo! (YHOO) Expected to Post Weak Results, But Focus Also On Asset Sales

By StreetInsider.com January 24, 2012, 09:40:40 AM EDT

Shares of Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) are trading up nearly 0.32 percent Tuesday ahead of the release of its fourth-quarter results after the closing bell.

The Wall Street quarterly consensus for Yahoo! is $0.24 per share in earnings on $1.19 billion in sales. During the fourth quarter of last year, the company reported earnings of $0.24 per share on $1.21 billion in total sales.

For the full year 2011, analysts on the Street are currently estimating $0.82 per share in earnings on $4.40 billion in total sales.

The fourth quarter conference call is scheduled for 5:00 pm ET.

According to data from Bloomberg, shares of Yahoo! have ten Buy ratings, twenty Hold ratings and one Sell ratings. The average price target on shares of YHOO is $18 with a range from $13 to $22.

While all eyes will certainly be on earnings, investors are also concerned about the progress on talks to sell its Asian assets and other strategic moves. The earnings also come one week after co-founder Jerry Yang stepped down from the board.

Analyst Comments :

Deutsche Bank is extremely bearish on Yahoo for the quarter and for the long term. For the quarter, the firm forecasts earnings of $0.28 per share on a non-GAAP basis and sales totaling $1.166 billion. The weak estimates reflect the fact that Yahoo is losing market share in its core business to its peers.

An analyst at Deutsche states, "Despite our expectations for weak results, it may not matter for the shares. Investor attention will focus on any updates with regards to the Asian asset sales as well as any outline CEO Thompson can provide in terms of plans for the use of funds. We hope Thompson shares his early views of the organization and potentially long term vision for Yahoo!."

Going into the quarter;s results, Deutsche is reiterating its Hold rating and $13 price target, the lowest price target among credible financial firms.

JPMorgan is bearish ahead of the release of the quarterly results with as they reaffirmed their Neutral rating and $17 price target. The firm forecasts earnings of $0.23 per share on $1.19 billion in total sales for the quarter. JPMorgan forecasts a 1.5 percent loss in display revenues and a 8.2 percent loss in search revenues.

An analyst at JPMorgan comments, "We expect new Yahoo! CEO Scott Thompson, former President of PayPal, to detail his plans to turnaround the core business. Scott has a strong track record and brings significant product and technology experience to Yahoo! We believe Yahoo! may increase its focus on programmatic selling of display and search campaigns using greater capabilities around real-time bidding, data mining, and personalization."

BGC is bullish with its quarterly earnings and sales estimates of $0.26 per share and $1.2 billion. The firm anticipates display revenue will only be down 0.5 percent as growth remains under pressure from peers such as Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) and Facebook. BGC see a 0.4 percent decline in search revenue. The firm highlights the company is not on tract to see double digit revenue growth in 2012 or 2013.

An analyst at BGC reports, "We also highlight there are no fast fixes for the company. Any process to liquidate the Asian assets could take a full year in our opinion and could need regulatory approval in several regions on the world. Any attempts may to spin assets using tax efficient methods may encounter stronger than expected regulatory resistance give the size of the transaction and the efforts to avoid triggering a taxable event in an election year."

BGC is maintaining its Hold rating and $17 price target on the company going into the release.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Stocks

Referenced Stocks: GOOG, YHOO



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