The fourth quarter of 2012 was a mixed bag for the equity
markets. It was a quarter marked by certain domestic as well as
global events which could prove to be game changers in the months
ahead.
Nevertheless, the ETF industry seems to be going strong. A
look at the top 10 asset accumulating
ETFs
this quarter reveals an impressive 5.97% increase in terms of
total additions to the asset base over the third quarter of 2012,
suggesting that even with some volatility in the market, demand
for ETFs remains strong.
The following table reveals the 10 most popular ETFs in the
final quarter of fiscal year 2012.
Table 1: Top 10 Asset Accumulating ETFs for Q4
12
|
ETF
|
Category
|
Inflow for Q4
|
4
th
Quarter Returns
|
|
EEM
|
Emerging Market Equities
|
$8.86 billion
|
8.46%
|
|
SPY
|
Broad Market Equities
|
$6.16 billion
|
1.47%
|
|
IVV
|
Broad Market Equities
|
$3.68 billion
|
1.82%
|
|
FXI
|
Emerging Market Equities
|
$2.99 billion
|
10.19%
|
|
GLD
|
Commodities-Gold
|
$1.77 billion
|
-2.88%
|
|
IWD
|
Broad Market Equities
|
$1.42 billion
|
2.13%
|
|
VGK
|
Developed Market Equities
|
$1.12 billion
|
6.89%
|
|
VOO
|
Broad Market Equities
|
$1.14 billion
|
1.59%
|
|
EMB
|
Emerging Market Bonds
|
$1.09 billion
|
1.61%
|
|
VTI
|
Broad Market Equities
|
$1.07 billion
|
2.08%
|
(Source:
Indexuniverse.com
)
Surprisingly, the
iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM)
makes it to the list and its Vanguard counterpart
VWO
is nowhere to be found within the top 10 names. This could
partially be due to Vanguard promising to switch its index from
MSCI to FTSE, but Vanguard did suggest that the fees would be
reduced in the move as well.
Although this would result in a cut in the already competitive
expense ratio of 20 basis points for the Vanguard ETF (especially
compared to the 67 basis points that iShares charges), the index
excludes South Korea. Top names like Samsung and Hyundai will
thereby be missing from the ETF portfolio so this could be part
of the shift to EEM by larger investors (read
2012 Was Forgettable for These Emerging Market
ETFs
).
Also, it is worthwhile to point out that other Emerging Market
ETFs have also made it to the top 10 asset accumulating list. The
iShares FTSE China Large Cap ETF (FXI)
which provides a pure play in the Chinese large cap equity space
has gained more than 10% this quarter accumulating almost $3
billion in its asset base.
The Chinese economy has for long been waiting for a
turnaround. The latest bout of optimism from the Chinese economy
comes in the form of rising industrial production coupled with
increased infrastructure spending by the government and a real
estate recovery. These factors have been the key positives for
the Chinese economy (read
Try Small Cap ETFs to Gain from Chinese Domestic
Demand
).
Of course, a modest recovery in the global economic space has
surely helped the Chinese large cap companies which are more
export oriented than their mid and small cap counterparts.
Also, the
iShares J.P.Morgan Emerging Markets USD Bond ETF
(EMB)
gained tremendous popularity this quarter. The paltry yields from
the domestic U.S. fixed income market had forced yield hungry
investors to look beyond the shores of the U.S.
Adding to the flavor of this product is that it eliminates
currency risk by considering only U.S. Dollar denominated
securities in its portfolio. Thus investors could get the actual
returns without worrying about the exchange rate movements.
A number of domestic broad market funds have made it to the
top 10 list too. The
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
(IVV)
and the
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)
the three S&P 500 ETFs have accumulated $6.16 billion, $3.68
billion and $1.14 billion respectively. However, IVV leads in
terms of returns by fetching investors 1.82%. This is followed by
VOO returning 1.59% and SPY returning 1.47%.
Beyond the S&P 500 ones, other broad market ETFs tracking
other indexes have featured in this elite list. The
iShares 1000 Value ETF (IWD)
tracking the Russell 1000 Value Index and the
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
tracking the MSCI US Broad Market Index have made it to the top
10 list.
The former is a large cap ETF tracking 1000 large cap stocks
from the U.S. equity markets whereas the latter is a total market
ETF which is composed of more than 3300 shares and constitutes of
stocks from the entire spectrum of market capitalization.
The fourth quarter was pretty much the most volatile quarter
this fiscal. Although it seemed that the stock markets would end
in the red this quarter especially post the presidential
elections, it actually rebounded and posted positive returns.
Also, there was lack of clarity over the stock market
performance of individual sectors since the third quarter
earnings season was feeble and so was the forward guidance for
the upcoming quarters by the company management.
This kind of explains the popularity for the broad based funds
as investors seemed to play the wait and see game and ride out
sector specific risk by allocating more to broad market
funds.
Lastly, of late, gold has not been experiencing the best of
times. In fact the outlook for Gold remains on the negative side
at least in the near to mid-term (see
Gold ETFs: Is the Sell-Off Overdone?
). The
SPDR Gold ETF (GLD)
is the only ETF in this list which has posted negative returns
for the fourth quarter in spite of accumulating nearly $1.77
billion.
However, Gold still ended the year on a positive note gaining
for the 12
th
straight year and on a multi-year high (read
Gold ETFs Make 2012 Another Positive Year
). And with the fundamentals not yet completely bearish for the
yellow metal, a recovery in the longer term definitely seems
possible.
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ISHARS-EMG MKT (EEM): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JPM EM B (EMB): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-FT CH25 (FXI): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-GOLD TRUST (GLD): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-SP500 (IVV): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-RS 1K VL (IWD): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP 500 TR (SPY): ETF Research Reports
VIPERS-M EUROPN (VGK): ETF Research Reports
VANGD-SP5 ETF (VOO): ETF Research Reports
VIPERS-TOT STK (VTI): ETF Research Reports
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