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Opening View: DJIA Traders Applaud Election Results, but Hold Fire Waiting on Fed

By Schaeffer's Investment Research November 03, 2010, 08:18:00 AM EDT

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) appears poised to extend Tuesday's cautious gains, as Wall Street cheers last night's Republican victories. However, this enthusiasm is being met with restraint ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) 2:15 p.m. Eastern time statement on U.S. monetary policy, interest rates, and potential quantitative easing. As such, futures on the DJIA and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are trading roughly 23 points and 3.8 points above fair value, respectively. Technically, the DJIA continues to trade between support near 11,050 and resistance at 11,250, while the SPX is bound by the 1,180 and 1,195 levels. That said, depending on the wording on in the Fed's statement this afternoon, these short-term support/resistance levels could easily fall by the wayside. Just remember to stay on your toes today.

In earnings news, Time Warner Inc. ( TWX ) said that third-quarter net income fell 21% $522 million, or 46 cents per share, from the year-earlier quarter. Adjusted profit from continuing operations was 62 cents per share, as revenue reached $6.38 billion. Analysts were expecting a profit of 53 cents per share on $6.43 billion in revenue.

Elsewhere, Electronic Arts Inc. ( ERTS ) reported a surprise adjusted second-quarter profit of $32 million, or 10 cents per share, as revenue fell 23% to $884 million. Analysts were expecting a loss of 10 cents a share on revenue of $812.7 million.

Finally, WellPoint Inc. ( WLP ) reported a third-quarter net profit of $739.1 million, or $1.84 per share, while total revenue dropped 5.7% to $14.33 billion. Excluding investment gains, the company earned $1.74 per share in the quarter. Analysts had expected earnings of $1.57 per share on revenue of $14.29 billion. Looking ahead, WLP expects 2010 earnings of at least $6.60 per share, or $6.45 per share on an adjusted basis. Analysts are currently expecting a 2010 profit of $6.38 per share.

Earnings Preview

On the earnings front, Aetna Inc. ( AET ), Agrium Inc. ( AGU ), Alpha Natural Resources Inc. (ANR), AOL Inc. (AOL), CVS Caremark Corp. (CVS), Hyatt Hotels Corp. (H), Molson Coors Brewing Co. (TAP), PulteGroup Inc. (PHM), Qwest Communications International Inc. (Q), TRW Automotive Holdings Corp. (TRW), Westlake Chemical Corp. (WLK), Force Protection Inc. (FRPT), Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK), General Cable Corp. (BGC), Overstock.com Inc. (OSTK), Prudential Financial Inc. (PRU), QUALCOMM Inc. (QCOM), WebMD Health Corp. (WBMD), Whole Foods Market Inc. (WFMI), and Yamana Gold Inc. (AUY). will release their quarterly reports today. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com for more news as it breaks.

Economic Calendar

The big news today, aside from last night's election results, will likely be the Federal Open Market Committee's decision on monetary policy and interest rates. Also on tap are the Institute for Supply Management's services index for October, October auto sales, September factory orders, and the weekly report on U.S. petroleum supplies. The weekly initial jobless claims report comes out on Thursday, and we round out the week with October's nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate.

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1,142,902 call contracts traded on Tuesday, compared to 639,578 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.56, while the 21-day moving average held at 0.61.

Volatility indices

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

Overseas Trading

Overseas trading is mixed this morning, as only six of the 10 foreign indexes that we track are in positive territory. The cumulative average return on the collective stands at a gain of 0.37%. In Asia, regional indexes headed broadly higher, as optimism built ahead of today's FOMC policy decision in the U.S. Trading in Japan was closed due to a holiday. Across the pond in Europe, regional markets are working on their fifth straight winning session.

Overseas markets

Currencies and Commodities

The U.S. dollar, like the rest of Wall Street, is treading water this morning, as investors await this afternoon's FOMC policy statement. At last check, the U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.14% at 76.61. Commodities, which typically trade inversely to the dollar, have found some lift this morning, with crude futures up 75 cents at $84.65 per barrel, while gold futures have added $1.20 to $1,358.10 an ounce in London.

Currencies and commodities

Unusual Put and Call Activity:

For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations .

Unusual options activity - puts

Unusual options activity - calls

Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Options

Referenced Stocks: AET, AGU, ERTS, TWX, WLP



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BAC $ 13.19 0.08  0.60%
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SIRI $ 3.37 0.03  0.88%
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