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Opening View: DJIA, SPX Point South Ahead of Retail Sales and Jobless Data; GM, RIG, WFMI in Focus

By Schaeffer's Investment Research May 05, 2011, 08:05:20 AM EDT

Stocks finished Wednesday's session with both feet in the red, after lackluster economic data -- including a somewhat ominous employment report from payroll processor ADP -- spooked the bulls. Ahead of the bell, the major market indexes are poised to extend their retreat, with the Street digesting earnings reports from heavyweights like General Motors ( GM ) and Transocean Ltd. (RIG). Later in the session, investors will take their cues from a round of retail sales reports and weekly jobless figures, as well as an early speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. In pre-market trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA ) is set to open nearly 34 points lower, while the broader S&P 500 Index (SPX ) is flirting with a 6-point drop out of the gate.

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

In equities news, Transocean Ltd. (RIG - 68.46) said first-quarter profit fell to $310 million, or 96 cents per share -- a drop of more than 50% from the year-earlier quarter. Analysts, on average, were anticipating a per-share profit of 80 cents for RIG. Revenue, meanwhile, declined to $2.14 billion from $2.58 billion, falling short of the Street's expectations for sales of $2.25 billion. The offshore rig contractor attributed the significant year-over-year decline to the deepwater drilling moratorium in the Gulf of Mexico, with utilization rates tumbling to 55% from 60% a year ago. At last check, RIG is set to open about 2.7% lower.

Meanwhile, Electronic Arts (ERTS - 19.92) reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $83 million, or 25 cents per share, excluding items, on revenue of $995 million. Analysts, on average, had forecast an adjusted profit of 22 cents per share on sales of $924 million. However, the video game maker projected a current-quarter loss of 44 cents to 49 cents per share on revenue of $460 million to $500 million, and said it expects fiscal-year earnings of 70 cents to 90 cents per share on sales of $3.75 billion to $3.95 billion. The firm's outlook fell short of the Street's predictions, with analysts calling for a current-quarter loss of 36 cents per share on revenue of $516 million, and fiscal-year earnings of 85 cents per share on sales of $3.94 billion. In pre-market trading, ERTS has tacked on 1.6%.

Elsewhere, Whole Foods Market Inc. (WFMI - 59.74) reported net income of $89.9 million, or 51 cents per share, for the fiscal second quarter, up 33% from the year prior. Revenue for the quarter rose a year-over-year 12% to $2.4 billion, while same-store sales jumped 7.8%. Analysts, on average, were expecting a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share on sales of $2.37 billion. In addition, the grocery guru upped its fiscal-year earnings guidance to a range of $1.87 to $1.90 per share, compared to its previous expectations for per-share earnings of $1.76 to $1.80. According to Thomson Reuters, Wall Street is calling for a fiscal 2011 profit of $1.80 per share. Ahead of the bell, WFMI is up more than 4%.

Finally, General Motors (GM - 33.04) reported a first-quarter profit of $3.2 billion, or $1.77 per share, more than tripling its year-ago results of $900 million, or 55 cents per share. Excluding items, GM banked a profit of 95 cents per share, while revenue improved to $36.2 billion from $31.5 billion on a year-over-year basis. Consensus estimates on Wall Street were calling for a profit of 91 cents per share on revenue of $35.59 billion. At last check, GM is poised to give up about 0.8% at the open.

Earnings Preview

Today's earnings docket will feature reports from Kraft Foods (KFT), Visa Inc. (V), CBOE Holdings ( CBOE ), Chiquita Brands International ( CQB ), CVS Caremark ( CVS ), Petrohawk Energy (HK), Fortune Brands ( FO ), Estee Lauder (EL), Priceline.com (PCLN), and Prudential Financial (PRU), just to name a few. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com for more news as it breaks.

Economic Calendar

Reports on first-quarter productivity and weekly jobless figures are due out today, and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is slated to speak at the Chicago Fed conference. Finally, the Labor Department's highly anticipated unemployment data will take center stage before the opening bell tomorrow, with the Fed's monthly consumer credit report slated for release in the afternoon.

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange ( CBOE ) saw 1,303,559 call contracts traded on Wednesday, compared to 941,839 put contracts -- the most single-session put activity since options expiration on Friday, April 15. The resultant single-session put/call ratio docked at 0.72 -- the highest since March 17 -- while the 21-day moving average jumped to a four-week high of 0.61.

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

Volatility indices

The spring 2011 issue of SENTIMENT magazine is now available here.

Overseas Trading

Chinese stocks ended mostly lower again today, as buyers remained sidelined amid expectations for a potential rate hike out of Beijing. Softer commodity prices were driving resource-related stocks like Cnooc Ltd. and PetroChina lower, while property developers suffered on news of a significant year-over-year drop in housing transactions in April. By the close, Hong Kong's Hang Seng gave up 0.2%, while the Shanghai Composite eked out a gain of 0.2%. Japanese and South Korean markets were closed for holiday.

Elsewhere, European stocks were also in the red around midday, as investors digest news that the Bank of England and the European Central Bank held their respective interest rates steady, as expected. In equities news, Lloyds Banking Group was dragging down London-listed stocks, after the U.K. financial firm confessed to a weaker-than-expected first quarter. Likewise, Societe Generale was pacing the laggards in France after reporting an unexpected drop in first-quarter earnings. At last check, Germany's DAX has given up about 0.7%, the FTSE 100 has shed nearly 0.8%, and France's CAC 40 has surrendered 1.2%.

Overseas markets

Currencies and Commodities

The greenback is trading fractionally higher this morning, with the U.S. dollar index up 0.01%. Elsewhere, after falling to a two-week low on Wednesday, crude futures have extended their retreat in pre-market action. At last check, the June-dated contract has given up 2.4% to hover around $106.62 per barrel. Meanwhile, gold futures are trading nearly 1.1% lower to linger beneath the $1,500-an-ounce marker, while silver -- which finished at a four-week nadir yesterday -- has continued its slide, falling 4.7%.

Currencies and commodities

Unusual Put and Call Activity:

For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations .

Unusual options activity - puts

Unusual options activity - calls

Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Options

Referenced Stocks: CBOE, CQB, CVS, FO, GM



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