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Opening View: DJIA Futures Rise Ahead of Housing and Jobs Data

By Schaeffer's Investment Research December 16, 2010, 07:19:43 AM EDT

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) slipped roughly 19 points on Wednesday, as the blue chip barometer was unable to hold above the 11,500 level despite a round of solid domestic economic data. Wall Street will be faced with another round of reports today, with housing starts and weekly jobless claims on tap later this morning. Investors are also awaiting the start of a summit of European leaders in Brussels. Heading into the open, futures on the DJIA and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are trading roughly 29.5 points and 3.7 points above fair value, respectively.

Technically, the Dow enters today trading above potential short-term support at the 11,450 level, while resistance at the 11,500 level is still a major barrier to a continued rally for the DJIA. Look for the 11,350 level to provide a backstop if this morning's economic reports go south. As for the SPX, the broad market index's winning streak ended at six consecutive sessions yesterday. Short-term support held at the 1,235 level, though, even as resistance firmed near 1,245. In the event of a poorly received economic data, look for the 1,230 level to hold firm.

In equity news, Pier 1 Imports Inc. ( PIR ) posted a 46% drop in third-quarter net income to $21 million, or 18 cents per share, from $38.8 million, or 37 cents per share, last year. Same-store sales for the quarter rose 10.2%. Analysts were looking for a profit of 15 cents per share.

Also on the earnings front, FedEx Corp. ( FDX ) is expected to report a second-quarter profit of $1.31 per share later this morning. The company earned $1.10 per share in the same quarter last year. Historically, FedEx has matched the consensus twice, matched once, and missed the Street's view once, for an average upside surprise of 2.5%.

Finally, Research In Motion Limited ( RIMM ) is seen posting a third-quarter profit of $1.65 per share after the close of trading this afternoon. Last year, RIMM posted a third-quarter profit of $1.10 per share. The company has topped the consensus estimate in three of the prior four reporting periods by an average of about 4%.

Earnings Preview

On the earnings front, Actuant Corp. ( ATU ), Discover Financial Services ( DFS ), General Mills Inc. (GIS), Rite Aid Corp. (RAD), Oracle Corp. (ORCL), and Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (TTWO) will also release their quarterly reports. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com for more news as it breaks.

Economic Calendar

The economic calendar is busy once again today, with weekly jobless claims, November housing starts, and the Philly Fed's December manufacturing index. The flood finally abates on Friday, with only the Conference Board's leading indicators for November slated for release

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1,327,953 call contracts traded on Wednesday, compared to 736,439 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.55 while the 21-day moving average held at 0.54.

Volatility indices

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

Overseas Trading

Overseas trading is headed lower this morning, with only three of the10 foreign indexes that we track in positive territory. The cumulative average return on the collective stands at a loss of 0.18%. Trading in Asia was mixed, with euro zone sovereign debt and potentially tightening monetary policy out of Beijing creating turbulence. Across the pond in Europe, regional indexes are hovering just below breakeven, with investors reluctant to take sides ahead of economic data out of the U.S.

Overseas markets

Currencies and Commodities

The U.S. dollar is weak this morning, as traders head to the sidelines ahead of today's housing data. In overseas trading, the dollar has spilled against the Japanese yen, helping to send the U.S. Dollar Index 0.12% lower to 80.16 in premarket trading. Despite the greenback's decline, commodities have not capitalized on the situation. In fact, crude futures have dropped 47 cents to $88.77 in electronic trading What's more, gold futures are hovering just below breakeven, with the December contract off 90 cents at $1,385.30 an once in London.

Currencies and commodities

Unusual Put and Call Activity:

For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations .

Unusual options activity - puts

Unusual options activity - calls

Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Options

Referenced Stocks: ATU, DFS, FDX, PIR, RIMM



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