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Opening View: DJIA Futures Plunge 80 Points Ahead of ADP Jobs Data

By Schaeffer's Investment Research January 05, 2011, 07:25:37 AM EDT

Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are trading sharply lower this morning, pointing toward a potential opening loss of about 82 points. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is also on the rocks this morning, with futures trading about 9.4 points below fair value. Yesterday's modest bump, following the release of minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's latest meeting, has faded quickly, with a sharp drop in commodities and anxiety ahead of today's ADP employment report taking center stage.

Technically, short-term resistance at the 11,700 level looms large for the Dow, with the blue chip barometer closing a hair's breadth below this hurdle on Tuesday. Look for the DJIA to struggle here today, while support should materialize near the 11,550-11,600 region. Meanwhile, the SPX edged above 1,270 yesterday, but the victory appears to be short lived. Resistance remains firm in the 1,275-1,280 area, with short-term support creating a floor near 1,255-1260.

In equities news, THQ Inc. ( THQI ) has announced a deal to develop video games based on popular Mattel Inc. ( MAT ) toys like Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price. The companies also said that they would like to expand current game and interactive potential for brands like Rock 'Em Sock 'Em Robots, Masters of the Universe, and more. THQ and Mattel hope to release the first of the new games in time for the next holiday season.

Meanwhile, Family Dollar Stores Inc. ( FDO ) said that its first-quarter profit rose to $74.3 million, or 58 cents per share, from $67.6 million, or 49 cents per share, in the year-ago period. Sales increased 9.5% to approximately $2 billion, from $1.8 billion a year ago. Wall Street analysts were looking for earnings of 61 cents per share on revenue of about $2 billion. Looking ahead, Family Dollar expects 2011 earnings of $3.08 per share to $3.23 per share, compared to the analyst target of $3.18 per share.

Finally, The Mosaic Co. ( MOS ) reported that it earned $1 billion, or $2.29 per share, in the second quarter. Excluding items, Mosaic earned $1.01 per share, compared to the 24 cents per share profit it earned in the same quarter last year. Sales rose 59% to $2.7 billion, while gross margin rose to 29% from 18%.

Earnings Preview

On the earnings front, Ruby Tuesday Inc. ( RT ) is slated to release its quarterly report. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com for more news as it breaks.

Economic Calendar

The Institute for Supply Management offers up its December services index today, while Challenger, Gray & Christmas and ADP will provide separate looks at the employment picture. We'll also get the usual weekly report on crude inventories. Tomorrow, the weekly report on initial jobless claims hits the Street, while Friday rounds out the week with December's nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate.

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the CBOE saw 1,688,125 call contracts traded on Tuesday, compared to 744,510 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.44, while the 21-day moving average held at 0.51.

Volatility indices

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

Overseas Trading

Overseas trading is weak this morning, as only one of the 10 foreign indexes that we track is in positive territory. The cumulative average return on the collective stands at a loss of 0.87%. Falling commodities' prices pressured stocks lower in Asian trading, though Hong Kong's Hang Seng bucked the trend to finish 0.38% higher. The situation is similar heading into midday trading in Europe, with commodities leading a steep retreat. Spanish equities are among the weakest, after a Markit Spain Services purchasing managers' index survey revealed that business activity fell during December at its fastest pace in 12 months, tagging a new six-month low.

Overseas markets

Currencies and Commodities

The U.S. dollar is rebounding this morning, spelling more trouble for commodities. At last check, the U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.45% at 79.81, trading just below its 10-day moving average. The greenback's strength has limited gold futures to a gain of only about 30 cents to $1,379.10, while crude futures are down $1.16 to $88.22 per barrel, their lowest level in more than a week.

Currencies and commodities

Unusual Put and Call Activity:

For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations .

Unusual options activity - puts

Unusual options activity - calls

Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Options

Referenced Stocks: FDO, MAT, MOS, RT, THQI



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