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On a Down Day for the Dow, Some Valuable Lessons for Contrarians

By Schaeffer's Investment Research April 18, 2012, 04:30:25 PM EDT

Equities spent the majority of the day in pullback mode, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) couldn't keep Tuesday's positive momentum going. "However, for the bulls, not seeing an implosion in the markets today is a very positive sign," explained Equities Analyst Bryan Sapp.

Keep reading to see what else was on our radar today:

  • Sapp shared four contrarian lessons from First Solar's ( FSLR ) wild-two day ride.
  • Regional lender U.S. Bancorp ( USB ) can't get any respect .
  • Bullish sentiment evaporated last week, according to Investors Intelligence.
  • Plus, see why Senior Technical Strategist Ryan Detrick is keeping his chin up about first-quarter earnings.
And now, a look at the numbers...

CLOSING SUMMARY - INDICES

CLOSING SUMMARY - NYSE AND NASDAQ

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI - 13,032.75) stayed in negative territory all session long, but was able to maintain a perch atop 13,000. By the time the dust settled, the Dow was off 82.8 points, or 0.6%. Twenty-two of the 30 blue chips finished with losses, as a weaker-than-projected first-quarter revenue pulled IBM ( IBM ) down 3.5% to lead the underperforming majority. Hewlett-Packard ( HPQ ) paced the seven winning issues with a 0.9% gain, while Bank of America ( BAC ) finished flat ahead of tomorrow's earnings.

The S&P 500 Index (SPX - 1,385.14) didn't travel too far from breakeven, and edged lower by 5.6 points, or 0.4%, to settle a second day above the 1,375 level. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite (COMP - 3,031.45) was able to peek its head above breakeven for a few brief moments, but ultimately notched a loss of 11.4 points, or 0.4%.

The CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX - 18.64) -- widely known as the market's fear gauge -- inched higher today. The VIX added nearly 1% to close below its session high of 19.17.

Today's highlight : "Massive weakness in Europe after a big up day on Tuesday should have pulled us much lower," Sapp pointed out. "But there were a few good earnings reports last night, including CSX (CSX) and Halliburton (HAL). Additionally, transportation stocks were relatively strong today, aided by cheaper oil. This could be a reason why the market didn't see a big selloff."

The weekly Investors Intelligence (II) sentiment survey showed that bullish sentiment has dipped. Click here to read more.

Ryan Detrick talked to CNBC India on Tuesday, and discussed the low expectations for earnings season and what Europe's woes could mean for the U.S. Click here to watch the interview.

Turning to equities in focus...

And, in case you missed it , Bryan Sapp explained four rules for contrarian investing on solar-power issue First Solar ( FSLR ). Click here to read his observations.

For today's activity in commodities, options, and more, head to page 2.

Crude futures erased Tuesday's rally and then some, as traders weighed a larger-than-expected increase in domestic inventories. The dollar-denominated commodity was also pressured by a stronger greenback and weakness in equities. Oil for May delivery ended on a loss of $1.53, or 1.5%, at $102.67 a barrel.

Likewise, gold futures took the road south today, and settled at their lowest point in nearly two weeks. Like crude, the precious metal was pulled lower by a strengthening dollar. June-dated gold dropped $11.50, or 0.7%, to land at $1,639.60 an ounce.

Levels to Watch in Trading :

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI - 13,032.75) - support at 11,500; resistance at 14,000
  • S&P 500 Index (SPX - 1,385.14) - support at 1,100; resistance at 1,500
  • Nasdaq Composite (COMP - 3,031.45) - support at 2,400; resistance at 3,400

OUTPERFORMING AND UNDERPERFORMING SECTORS

STOCKS - MOVERS

STOCKS - EARNINGS

STOCKS - NOTABLE CALL ACTIVITY

STOCKS - NOTABLE PUT ACTIVITY

For today's notable annual highs and lows, click here .

SCHAEFFER'S MARKET POSTURE

At the end of every market day, the staff at Schaeffer's Investment Research reviews the trading day in detail, covering major events and key market developments. Don't miss this critical, timely and insightful report. If you enjoyed today's edition of Market Recap, sign up here for free daily delivery straight to your inbox.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Options

Referenced Stocks: BAC, FSLR, HPQ, IBM, USB



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