Oil prices hit seven-month lows on global oversupply


Reuters

UPDATE 9-Oil prices hit seven-month lows on global oversupply


* OPEC supply jumps in May as Libya, Nigeria output recovers
    * OPEC, non-OPEC compliance with cuts hits highest in May-
source
    * Hedge funds sour on crude oil and fuels
    * U.S. crude stockpiles forecast lower for second week
    * Coming Up: Weekly API data on U.S. inventories at 2030 GMT

 (Updates pricing; adds comment; changes dateline, previous
LONDON)
    By Jessica Resnick-AultNEW YORK, June 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell nearly 3
percent to seven-month lows on Tuesday after increases in supply
by several key producers overshadowed high compliance by OPEC
and non-OPEC oil producers with a deal to cut global output amid
a continued sell-off driven by funds.
    Brent <LCOc1> was down $1.09 at $45.82 a barrel by 1:00 p.m.
(1700 GMT), after hitting $45.42, its lowest intraday since Nov.
15, two weeks before the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and other producers agreed to cut output by 1.8
million barrels per day (bpd) for six months from January.
    The U.S. crude futures contract for July <CLc1>, due to
expire later on Tuesday, fell $1.20 to $43.00, having earlier
touched $42.75, its lowest since Nov. 14.
    Both benchmarks were down more than 15 percent since late
May, when OPEC, Russia and other producers extended limits on
output until the end of March 2018.
    "Given the expectation that you'll see higher production
levels in several areas of the world, it's going to offset all
they're taking off the market," said Gene McGillian, manager of
market research at Tradition Energy.
    OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers' compliance with the deal to
cut output reached its highest in May since they agreed on the
curbs last year, reaching 106 percent last month, a source
familiar with the matter said. [nL8N1JH4UH]
    OPEC supplies, however, jumped in May as output recovered in
Libya and Nigeria, both exempt from the production reduction
agreement.
    Libya's oil production rose more than 50,000 bpd to 885,000
bpd after the state oil company settled a dispute with Germany'sWintershall, a Libyan source told Reuters. [nL8N1JG287]
    Nigerian oil supply is also rising. Exports of Nigeria'sBonny Light crude are set to reach 226,000 bpd in August, up
from 164,000 bpd in July, loading programmes show. [nL8N1JG4PX]
    "The increasing August export programme in Nigeria and the
jump in Libyan oil output should pressure oil prices further in
the short term," said Tamas Varga, senior analyst at London
brokerage PVM Oil Associates.
    "If we get bearish U.S. oil statistics this week, we could
see a test of $45 on Brent," Varga said.
    Ahead of weekly U.S. inventory reports, U.S. crude oil
stocks were forecast to have fallen for the second straight
week, while gasoline supplies were seen unchanged after last
week's data showed an unexpected build that weighed down the
market. [EIA/S]
    Industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) is
scheduled to release its data for last week at 4:30 p.m., and
official government report is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT on
Wednesday.
    "Recent data points are not encouraging," Morgan Stanley
analysts said in a note to clients. "Identifiable oil
inventories - both crude and product in the OECD, China and
selected other non-OECD countries - increased at a rate of
(about) 1 (million bpd) in Q1."
    Hedge fund managers have become very bearish about the
outlook for oil prices as production from countries outside OPEC
grows and threatens to undermine the effectiveness of OPEC's
output controls. [nL8N1JG39D]
    The $1.3 billion Andurand Commodities fund was down 17.33
percent for the year by May 31, according to an HSBC report.
Merchant Commodity Fund was down 12.38 percent by June 9, the
report said.
    "At the moment sentiment is bearish and traders seem happy
to keep selling into every rally," said Fawad Razaqzada,
financial markets technical analyst at Forex.com.

    <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
GRAPHIC: Brent oil may bottom out around $46.20    http://tmsnrt.rs/2tm5Z62
GRAPHIC: U.S. oil neutral in $44.10-$44.55 range    http://tmsnrt.rs/2rPhW2f
    ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
 (Additional reporting by Aaron Sheldrick in Tokyo and
Christopher Johnson in London; Editing by Marguerita Choy and
Jason Neely)
 ((Jessica.Resnick-Ault@thomsonreuters.com; 646-223-6052;))

Keywords: GLOBAL OIL/ (UPDATE 9)



This article appears in: Stocks , World Markets , Oil , Commodities


More from Reuters

Subscribe






See Reuters News

Follow on:








Research Brokers before you trade

Want to trade FX?