Mixed 1Q for Methanex - Analyst Blog

By Zacks.com May 01, 2012, 09:04:01 AM EDT

Methanex Corporation ( MEOH ), the world's largest supplier of methanol, posted earnings of 23 cents per share in the first quarter of 2012 up from 37 cents a year ago. The results missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 36 cents. Earnings were impacted by lower sales of Methanex-produced methanol.

Revenues of $666 million exceeded the year-ago revenues of $619 million, a roughly 7.6% increase. Sales surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $633 million. Sales volumes in the quarter totaled 1.8 million tons, down 2.2% from the year-ago quarter.

Average realized price per ton amounted to $437 in the quarter almost flat versus the year ago quarter. Total production in the quarter amounted to 945 thousand tons compared with 801 thousand tons in the prior-year quarter.

Production Summary

Chile : During the reported quarter, the company produced 113 thousand tons in Chile operating one plant at approximately 40% capacity versus 183 thousand tons in the prior-year quarter. The company operated its methanol facilities in Chile, significantly below the site capacity due to curtailed natural gas supplies from Argentina.

New Zealand : During the first quarter of 2012, Methanex produced 174 thousand tons, down 14.3% from the comparable year-ago quarter. The company suspended operations in the quarter in New Zealand leading to reduced production. The company is on schedule to restart a second plant in New Zealand in the third quarter of 2012, which is expected to add 650,000 tonnes of incremental capacity per annum to the New Zealand operations.

Trinidad : Production grew by 77.7% to 195 thousand tons in the reported quarter. Among the company's facilities, Atlas operated below its capacity till January 2012 due to an equipment failure and was also shut down for this reason. However production resumed the next month and the plant operated at 90% capacity. The company expects to continue to face natural gas supply restriction in the near term. However, currently it is trying to find a solution for this problem.

Egypt : The facility produced 202 thousand tons, significantly above 31 thousand tons that it produced a year ago, and also above its capacity.

Medicine Hat :  The facility produced 114 thousand tons in the quarter. The company has a plan in place to purchase natural gas from the Alberta gas market and expects the long-term natural gas dynamics in North America to support the long-term operation of this facility.

Financial Review

Consolidated cash flows from operating activities in the first quarter of 2012 were $93 million compared with $125 million as in the prior-year quarter. Cash and cash equivalents were $584.1 million as of March 31, 2012, compared with 239.8 million as of March 31, 2011.

Outlook

Methanex expects strong methanol demand and an upward pressure on prices for the second quarter of 2012. However, the company believes that methanol price will depend on the strength of the global economy, industry operating rates, global energy prices, new supply additions and the strength of global demand.

As part of its strategy to strengthen its position as the global leader in the production and marketing of methanol, Methanex intends to continue pursuing new opportunities to boost its strategic position in the methanol industry.

Methanex, which faces stiff competition from Celanese Corp. ( CE ) and Eastman Chemical Co. ( EMN ), retains a Zacks #3 Rank, reflecting a short-term (1 to 3 months) Hold rating. Currently, we have a long-term (more than 6 months) Outperform recommendation on the stock.


 
CELANESE CP-A ( CE ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
EASTMAN CHEM CO ( EMN ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
METHANEX CORP ( MEOH ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Business, Stocks

Referenced Stocks: CE, EMN, MEOH



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