Short-sellers significantly increased their bets against
emerging markets last month while taking heat off of U.S.
Treasurys, as anxiety about the fate of the eurozone again flared
and reached crisis proportions.
The number of shares short of the $33 billion iShares MSCI
Emerging Markets Index Fund (NYSEArca:EEM) spiked 47.4 percent last
month after rising 12.4 percent in April. The percentage of
EEM shorts to overall longs rose to 7.6 percent from about 5
percent.
The message regarding risk aversion in the emerging markets was
clear as a bell, as developing world equities investments bore the
brunt of an again-growing risk-off investor sentiment as the
eurozone crisis careens from one country to the next. Conversely,
in such troubled times, Treasurys remain exceedingly popular, even
though investors also worry about the day when Treasury yields
spike.
A disappointing U.S. May jobs report seemed to rubber-stamp the
sentiment among short sellers; namely, that evidence the global
growth is slowing has turned up in the world's largest economy. The
U.S. created 69,000 jobs in May-far fewer than the 175,000
economists said they were expecting in a survey conducted by
Bloomberg News.
Also, the number of shares short of the $7 billion iShares MSCI
Brazil Index Fund (NYSEArca:EWZ) jumped by more than a quarter
after jumping about as much in the prior month. The short interest
on EWZ rose to 27.4 percent of its outstanding long float from 21
percent at the end of April.
A similar risk aversion was evident on the 13 percent rise in
the number of SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEArca:SPY). In April, the
number of SPY shares short actually fell by about 4 percent. The
ETF's short interest grew to 40 percent of its long float from 35
percent at the end of April.
Treasurys Much More Popular
The fate of the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund
(NYSEArca:TLT) in the world of short-sellers provided the perfect
mirror image of the exodus from emerging market equities that
morphed into increased short-selling.
Indeed, the number of TLT shares short dropped by more than a
fifth in May, after rising more than 3.5 percent in April.
Overall, the percentage of short TLT interest relative to the
nearly $4 billion ETF's long interest dropped in May to about 56
percent from a much higher 85 percent at the end of April.
Before signing off, a standard caveat here at IndexUniverse:When
taking in short interest data, it's important to remember that data
can be flawed.
Still, short interest data are a great way to gauge
sentiment.
| Big Bets |
| Ticker |
Name |
% Float Short |
1 Month % Change |
$Short ($, M) |
| SPY |
SPDR S&P 500 |
40.04 |
13.10 |
38,683.62 |
| IWM |
iShares Russell 2000 |
110.32 |
-0.05 |
14,967.27 |
| QQQ |
PowerShares QQQ |
18.25 |
8.82 |
5,379.06 |
| XLE |
Energy Select SPDR |
50.34 |
9.24 |
3,167.10 |
| GLD |
SPDR Gold |
4.44 |
4.42 |
2,833.28 |
| XRT |
SPDR S&P Retail |
329.44 |
-12.29 |
2,578.50 |
| EEM |
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets |
7.64 |
47.42 |
2,498.67 |
| XLF |
Financial Select SPDR |
42.56 |
84.82 |
2,351.09 |
| TLT |
iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond |
56.30 |
-20.82 |
2,140.97 |
| EWZ |
iShares MSCI Brazil |
27.38 |
26.44 |
1,960.50 |
| Really Really Short |
| Ticker |
Name |
% Float Short |
1 Month % Change |
$Short ($, M) |
| XRT |
SPDR S&P Retail |
329.44 |
-12.29 |
2,578.50 |
| RTH |
Market Vectors Retail |
262.71 |
-11.96 |
77.74 |
| RKH |
Market Vectors Bank and Brokerage |
190.56 |
3.03 |
42.92 |
| XOP |
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration &
Production |
171.22 |
4.13 |
1,382.79 |
| FXE |
CurrencyShares Euro |
153.81 |
-2.66 |
501.47 |
| KCE |
SPDR S&P Capital Markets |
128.14 |
-0.79 |
34.40 |
| IWM |
iShares Russell 2000 |
110.32 |
-0.05 |
14,967.27 |
| DUST |
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X |
108.24 |
60.86 |
23.30 |
| DRV |
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3x |
106.41 |
8.25 |
22.11 |
| TMF |
Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x |
84.66 |
-25.69 |
21.10 |
Data is believed to be accurate; however, transient market data
is often subject to subsequent revision and correction by the
exchanges.
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