Lockheed Gets Air Force Contract - Analyst Blog

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Lockheed Martin Corporation ( LMT ) was awarded a $241 million U.S. Air Force contract for Lot 10 production of the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile or JASSM and Extended Range variant or ER variant.

Per the Lot 10 contract, Lockheed Martin will manufacture 191 baseline missiles, 30 ER missiles, Test Instrumentation Kits and systems engineering support. Work on the contract will begin in the third quarter of 2012.

Produced at the company's manufacturing facility in Troy, Alabama, Lockheed Martin has assembled more than 1,100 JASSMs for testing and operational use toward a total objective of 4,900 JASSM and JASSM-ER missiles.

Lockheed Martin is the largest U.S. defense contractor with a platform-centric focus that guarantees a steady inflow of follow-on orders from a leveraged presence in the Army, Air Force, Navy and IT programs. We expect the company to benefit from a strong defense focus on a number of its platform programs, such as the C-130 Hercules & C-5 Galaxy transport aircrafts, F-16 Fighting Falcon multi-role jet, MH-60 Helicopters, the Advanced Extremely High Frequency & the Global Positioning Satellite III system satellites, the Littoral Combat Ship, and the Aegis Weapons System.

Going forward, we believe Lockheed Martin has significant upside potential based on the Obama administration's focus on Intelligence Surveillance Reconnaissance, unmanned systems, force protection, cyber-security, and missile defense. It already sits on an order backlog of approximately $76.6 billion at the end of the first quarter of 2012.

On the flip side, we must remember that a large percentage of Lockheed Martin's business comes from the US government (82% of sales in 2011). Budget deficits and political uncertainty make future defense budgets vulnerable to cutbacks.

In the long term, Pentagon is seeking to trim about $487 billion in defense spending over 10 years to meet deficit reduction targets. Also, U.S. economic fundamentals are basically being kept on a leash as the Euro crisis continues to cast its spell over financial markets, risking further cutbacks in future defense budgets.

However, we believe market pessimism is fully accounted for in the current valuation of the company, which is priced at a discount to both industry peers and the overall market. In view of these factors, we currently remain on the sidelines on Lockheed Martin. Given the budgetary cuts and overall scenario, it would not be too pessimistic to advise investors to adopt a wait-n-watch approach for the defense and aerospace goliath. This justifies the Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a short-term "Hold" recommendation.
 
Considering the company's business model and fundamentals, we have a long-term "Neutral" recommendation on the stock. This is in sync with its peers like The Boeing Company ( BA ) and Northrop Grumman Corporation ( NOC ).


 
BOEING CO (BA): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
LOCKHEED MARTIN (LMT): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
NORTHROP GRUMMN (NOC): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.



This article appears in: Investing , Business , Stocks

Referenced Stocks: BA , LMT , NOC

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