Kinross Misses Estimates in 1Q - Analyst Blog

By Zacks.com May 09, 2012, 03:55:01 PM EDT

Gold miner Kinross Gold Corporation ( KGC ) reported an adjusted net income of $203.1 million or 18 cents per share in the first quarter of 2012, above last year's earnings of $175.3 million or 15 cents per share. The results missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 21 cents.

Net earnings, as reported, went down almost 58% to $105.7 million (or 9 cents per share), from $250.1 million or 22 cents a share in the year-ago period.

Operational Performance

Revenues jumped 11% year-over-year to $1,036.6 million, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,124 million. The growth was due to higher average realized gold price, which increased almost 24% to $1,644 ounce in the quarter from $1,327 per ounce in the prior-year quarter.

Gold production decreased during the quarter by 6% to 604,247 gold equivalent ounces. The decrease in production was led by an expected decline in grade at Kupol along with an increased output of lower-grade stockpile ore at La Coipa, and low production at Tasiast.

Production cost per gold equivalent ounce was $742 in the quarter versus $545 in the prior-year quarter. Margin per gold equivalent ounce sold was $902 in the quarter, up 15% from the prior-year quarter, mainly due to higher realized gold price.

Financial Review

In the first quarter, adjusted operating cash flow was $339.7 million compared with $396.7 million a year ago. Cash and cash equivalents were $1.5 billion as of March 31, 2012, compared with $1.6 billion as of March 31, 2011.  

Capital expenditures were $534 million in the quarter compared with $255.9 million reported in the same period last year. The higher capital expenses were driven by project-related expenses incurred at Tasiast, Paracatu and Dvoinoye.

Growth Projects

Tasiast expansion project - Development work is progressing well at Tasiast and Kinross is preparing for the next two phases of expansion at the mine. The company has submitted the Environment Impact Assessment (EIA) for the phase 2 project and the approval is expected in the second half of this year.

Kinross has expanded its mine fleet at the mine to 41 haul trucks, resulting in increased activity. Moreover, the company expects Tasiast to produce approximately 90 million tons this year, up from 50 million tons produced in 2011.

Dvoinoye - Kinross completed the feasibility study at Dvoinoye as scheduled in the first quarter and the company's board approved full construction funding for the project. The study confirmed that the mine would probably produce at a rate of around 1,000 tons of ore per day. Kinross expects the mine to produce 215,000 to 250,000 gold equivalent ounces a year in its first three years of full production. The mine's life is being put around seven years and production is expected to begin in the second half of next year.

Paracatu Ball Mills - Construction work on the fourth Paracatu ball mill is progressing as per schedule and the project is expected to be operational in the third quarter.

Maricunga SART plant - Kinross commenced the pre-commissioning of the Maricunga SART (Sulphidization, Acidification, Recycling and Thickening) plant and the project is expected to be complete in the first half of 2012.

At Fruta del Norte (FDN) , Kinross continued negotiations with the Ecuadorean government on an enhanced economic package.

At Lobo-Marte , the company started drilling in January this year. The focus of the drilling was mainly on the Valy prospect to follow up the positive results from the drill programs carried out in the second quarter of 2011.

Outlook

Kinross remains on track to produce 2.6 - 2.8 million attributable gold equivalent ounces in 2012.  The average cost of sales per gold equivalent ounce is expected to be in the range of $670 - $715.

Our Take

Kinross Gold Corporation, like other gold producers, Barrick Gold Corporation ( ABX ) and Newmont Gold Mining ( NEM ), benefits from rising gold prices. We expect Kinross' exploration projects and acquisitions to boost its top line going forward.

Currently, we have a long-term (more than 6 months) Neutral recommendation on the stock. The company currently holds a Zacks #3 Rank, reflecting a short-term (1 to 3 months) Hold rating.


 
BARRICK GOLD CP (ABX): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
KINROSS GOLD (KGC): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
NEWMONT MINING (NEM): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Business, Stocks

Referenced Stocks: ABX, EIA, FDN, KGC, NEM



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