ISM Manufacturing Survey Disappoints - Real Time Insight

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Economic activity in the manufacturing sector contracted for the second straight month in July, according to the Institute for Supply Management's survey. PMI registered 49.8 percent last month, slightly below expectations. A reading below 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally contracting.

PMI had shown 34 consecutive months of expansion until June, when it fell to 49.7%.

The internals of the report weren't much better. New Orders improved slightly but registered just 48.0. Prior to June's sub-50 reading, New Orders were above 50 every month since May 2009 - when the economy was just emerging from the Great Recession.

Although this report was slightly better overall than the June survey, it once again showed contraction in the manufacturing economy. However, a reading below 50 does not necessarily signal that a recession is looming. Recessions typically register PMI readings in the low 40's, and we're still above those levels. But this does add to the list of data that suggests the economy is slowing.


 
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