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Grain prices set to peak in next two months – Brasil Foods

By Emerging Money September 21, 2012, 11:02:24 AM EDT

Brasil Foods ( BRFS , quote ) CEO José Antonio Fay sees high grain prices for "at least" the next two years, peaking in the next two months before Christmas.

[caption id="attachment_73548" align="alignright" width="300" caption="Dinner is looking more expensive"] Image courtesy Sioda: http://www.everystockphoto.com/photographer.php?photographer_id=45591 [/caption]

Featured on Trading The Globe last Friday, Brasil Foods is the largest poultry exporter in the world, a member of CNBC's Ambassador's Index that spotlights tomorrow's companies today, and arguably the Tyson Foods of Brazil.

The company has a presence in over 110 countries, with offices in the Middle East, Asia, and Europe, with 42 factories, 120,000 employees, four industrial plants worldwide and 60 in Brazil, 36 distribution centers and 24 global offices, making it the tenth largest food company in the world.

Brasil Foods core business is chilled and frozen food. It processes frozen pastas, soybeans, and their derivatives, and distributes frozen vegetables.

Ceo Antonio Fay has "some targets" for acquisitions he said to Bloomberg in a phone interview from London, and expects margins to improve in the fourth quarter on the price rises. The CEO also expects the company's net debt to fall to two times Ebitda in 2013.

Brasil Foods is already set to invest $130 million to build a plant in Abu Dhabi, which is scheduled to start operations in the fourth quarter of 2013, when it will produce 60,000 tons per year of processed food.


Trading The Globe: The Tyson Foods of Brazil?

Emerging Money talked about how rising grain prices were making Brasil Foods attractive in July, although subsequent discussion saw the company's prospects as mixed .

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters have downgraded their estimates concerning earnings per share  (check the link for charts), reports 4-Traders.com:

"Technically, the security could run out of steam close to the BRL 37.2 resistance. Indeed, the stock is moving in an upward trend in the short term but it could know a halt. In this context, the downward movement could improve and it should expect a return to BRL 32.4. Indicators that show an overbought situation confirm this scenario.

"The technical configuration and fundamentals lead us to predict a consolidation phase, at least in the short term. The BRL 37.2 should play its full role and to stop the upward trend initiated in the short term. Therefore, to take advantage of this technical correction, a short position may be opened in the current area to target BRL 32.4. In case of further acceleration, the stop loss will be triggered above the BRL 37.2."




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, International, Stocks

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