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Goldman Sachs Resumes Coverage on Several Major Transports (CSX, NSC, FDX, UPS, UNP)

By Dividend.com July 12, 2012, 08:53:33 AM EDT

Analysts at Goldman Sachs on Thursday resumed coverage on several stocks in the Transports sector, offering a largely bullish outlook for many major plays.

CSX Started as a "Buy"
The firm resumed coverage on railroad operator CSX Corporation ( CSX ) with a "Buy" rating and $25 price target, suggesting a 12% upside to the stock's Wednesday closing price of $22.25.

A Goldman analyst commented, "With the bottom in domestic utility coal very close, we see limited downside in the name and believe the shares can work higher as investors shift focus to non-coal segments which are performing well YTD. We think the valuation discount to the group will narrow when the bottom in coal materializes (likely a 3Q or 4Q event)."

Norfolk Southern also a "Buy"
Goldman also resumed coverage on railroad giant Norfolk Southern ( NSC ) with a "Buy" rating and $83 target, suggesting a 16% upside to the stock's Wednesday closing price of $71.27.

The analyst commented, "We think the shares represent an appealing combination of low-risk and meaningful reward in a slow growth economy with the potential for significant returns to shareholders from dividends (2.6% yield) and share repurchases (we estimate 4-5% buyback in 2012 with bias to the upside). The company should benefit from continued strength in intermodal truck conversions and its petroleum segment, driven by increased Bakken activity."

Bullish on FedEx, Too
The firm re-initiated coverage on package delivery giant FedEx Corporation ( FDX ) with a "Buy" rating and $102 price target, suggesting an 11% upside to the stock's Wednesday closing price of $90.61.

Goldman commented, "We believe the opportunity to rationalize the Express segment will lead to faster-than-expected margin expansion. The Ground business, where incremental growth is being driven by the secular e-commerce story, should continue to outperform and drive upside to Street estimates. History suggests that investors have typically earned outsized gains in FDX stock when buying the shares at current valuations."

"Neutral" on UPS with Possible Downside
Fellow package delivery service United Parcel Service, Inc. ( UPS ) was started as a "Neutral" at Goldman Sachs with a $77 price target. That target implies a small downside to the stock's Wednesday closing price of $78.88.

The analyst commented, "The valuation multiple on UPS shares have been de-rating since the company went public in 1999 but we believe the valuation should find support near current levels given the high rate of return on equity generated by the business model. At current valuations, however, we rate the shares Neutral and see modest downside risk in the name."

Also "Neutral" on Union Pacific on Valuation Concerns
Finally, Goldman restarted coverage on railroad operator Union Pacific with a "Neutral" rating and $124 price target (6% upside).

The analyst noted "The consensus favorite among rail stocks, we think it is one of lowest risk names in the space with no exposure to Appalachian coal and a 5% legacy book remaining that will provide an annual lift to pricing growth of 50bps 100bps. Valuation, however, keeps us from recommending the shares at current levels."

The Bottom Line
Shares of CSX ( CSX ) have a 2.52% dividend yield, based on last night's closing stock price of $22.25. The stock has technical support in the $19-$20 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $23-$24 price levels. Shares of Norfolk Southern ( NSC ) have a 2.64% dividend yield, based on last night's closing stock price of $71.27. The stock has technical support in the $65 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $75 price level. Shares of FedEx ( FDX ) have a .62% dividend yield, based on last night's closing stock price of $90.61. The stock has technical support in the $85 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $95-$97 price levels. Shares of United Parcel Service ( UPS ) have a 2.89% dividend yield, based on last night's closing stock price of $78.88. The stock has technical support in the $73-$75 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $80-$81 price levels. Shares of Union Pacific ( UNP ) have a 2.06% dividend yield, based on last night's closing stock price of $116.52. The stock has technical support in the $106-$110 price area. The stock is trading near all-time highs.

None of the dividend stocks mentioned in this article are currently recommended by Dividend.com.

Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Stocks

Referenced Stocks: CSX, FDX, NSC, UNP, UPS



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