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Forex Flash: US retail sales to remain weaker than before financial crisis; Expect 0.2% gain - BoA

By FXstreet.com August 10, 2012, 04:28:00 PM EDT

FXstreet.com (San Francisco) - "Medium-term growth in retail sales is likely to remain weaker than before the financial crisis," says Bank of America Merril Lynch in a recent publish report. The Bank expect a moderate 0.2% gain in July retail sales report that is schedule on Tuesday August 14 at 12:30 GMT (8:30 EST).

BoA says the retail sector is under "increasing pressure" since the latest few years as far as the American behavior is changing into more borrowers, "Until about two years ago, strong growth in incomes and wealth, and a willingness to borrow, had enabled an extended and unusual period of strong growth in retail sales."

But "That period has now passed," states the BoA research team. Now the consumer is more focused "to save and pay down debt than to spend, and are spending a greater proportion of income on services and increased costs of living."

On the industry hand "retailers have had to contend with the emergence of on-line shopping as a major competitor, enhancing price transparency for consumers and providing consumers with alternatives, often including a wider range of goods and lower prices than offered by bricks and mortar retailers, to what had previously been a captive market," says the BoA paper. And it is "in addition to weaker overall demand."




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Forex and Currencies

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