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Forex Flash: Analyzing market drivers over next months – RBS

By FXstreet.com January 07, 2013, 03:28:00 AM EDT

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - In many ways the market outlook moving forward is positive as the US fiscal cliff has been averted. Liquidity is plentiful and coming from many directions. Now that the global FX race to the bottom has been thoroughly engaged in Tokyo, the funding currency catfight clearly has extended to JPY. Moreover, growth seems to have bottomed in China - and it is holding in reasonably well elsewhere in Asia.

According to the RBS Research Team, "This may not be enough to drive a sharp rebound in Asian economies, but could still improve the attraction of regional growth sufficiently enough to drive currency appreciation."

"We think a couple themes will pre-occupy market attention in the next few months: the first three are essentially the same three themes of the last three years - how goes the US economy and what are the consequent implications for Fed policy; the Euro debt crisis; and the outlook for global growth in general. The second three focus on risks -- geopolitical risk, the risk of a more aggressive BoJ, and the risk that more activist central bank policy degenerates into greater trade and/or financial protectionism." the team notes.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Forex and Currencies

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