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Forex: EUR/USD lower despite positive EMU indicators

By FXstreet.com January 08, 2013, 05:15:00 AM EDT

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Capped at 1.3132 European session high, the EUR/USD started easing back down just ahead of EMU data releases. Business Climate in the Eurozone improved less than the 1.10 expected, from -1.17 to -1.12 in December. Industrial Confidence came in line with consensus, from -15.0 (revised fro -15.1) to -14.4. The Economic Sentiment Indicator rose more than expected, from 85.7 to 85, beating the 86.5 prediction. Services Sentiment also beat consensus, from -11.9 to -9.8, instead of -10.8.

EMU Retail Sales only grew 0.1% (MoM) in November (consensus of 0.3%), but improved the annualized figure more than expected due to a revision of the prior month. From -3.2% (revised from -3.6%), YoY retail sales rebounded to -2.6%, instead of -2.7%. As expected, the Eurozone unemployment rate rose from 11.7% to 11.8% in November.

Despite the overall improvement in the Eurozone indicators today, the EUR/USD is dropped to 1.3115, slightly below flat on Tuesday. "Four-hour chart indicators are pointing higher, in attempt to break into positive territory, however, reversing hourlies, do not rule out further consolidative / corrective action, with 1.3100/1.3088, offering good support and expected to contain"; wrote Windsor Brokers analyst Slobodan Drvenica, pointing to a break of 1.3050 as key to signal the end of near-term corrective phase and bring bears back in play.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Forex and Currencies

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