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Forex: EUR/USD corrects over-extended downtrend

By FXstreet.com May 16, 2012, 09:46:00 PM EDT

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - An improved mood in the Asian session has seen overstretched bearish trends on risk currencies taking a turn higher. EUR/USD is nearing 1.2750 from levels below 1.2700 in NA trade. AUD/USD has also jumped to 0.9950 from 0.9870 in the last European session.

The market has been a one way street favouring the USD lately, courtesy of a potential fracture of the EZ as Greece edges closer to the abyss, however, techical market dynamics appear to finally outweigh the fundamentals in Asia. S&P futures are also moving higher, helping underpin risk currencies.

EUR/USD, which has been offered merciless since breaking its old range at 1.2950, saw a basing pattern taking shape at 1.2680 early US trade, just over 50 pips away from beckoning last Jan lows at 1.2625/30. The highly liquid EUR/USD has been on a crusade to higher ground since the NY close though, now approaching 1.2750/60, where sellers may be noted.

Should the correction pick up momentum, the pair may enjoy a no congestive zone of 50+ pips until reaching 1.2810/20, May 14 swing low. Further up, earlier in the week above 1.2900 was a re-sell zone, so it should be noted a 'value area' again for sellers. On the downside, support at 1.2680 is the next hurdle to take out before Euro bears launch a final attack to 1.2625 Jan lows. Below, the round number 1.2500 may come into play.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Forex and Currencies

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