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Forex - AUD/USD weekly outlook: January 7 - 11

By Investing.com January 06, 2013, 04:59:35 AM EDT

Investing.com - The Australian dollar ended Friday's session mildly higher against its U.S. counterpart, as the greenback came under pressure following the release of the lackluster U.S. employment data, which suggested the Federal Reserve will continue its quantitative easing program in the near term.

AUD/USD hit 1.0526 on Thursday, the pair's highest since December 19; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.0477 by close of trade, up own 1.04% for the week.

The pair is likely to find support at 1.0393, Friday's low and resistance at 1.0526, Thursday's high.

The Aussie turned higher after the U.S. Department of Labor said the economy added 155,000 jobs in December, easing from an upwardly revised increase of 161,000 in November.

The unemployment rate held steady at 7.8%, suggesting that the recovery in the labor market may be slowing.

The U.S. dollar moderated strong gains following the release of the lackluster U.S. employment data, as the still-high unemployment rate was likely to keep the Fed's bond-buying program in place for the indefinite future.

The U.S. dollar gained broadly on Thursday after the minutes from the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee's December meeting indicated that the central bank could end its bond-buying program earlier than expected.

According to the minutes, several Fed officials thought the central bank would be able to slow or stop its bond purchases well before December 2013.

In the week ahead, investors are likely to remain focused on U.S. political wrangling over fiscal policy.

U.S. lawmakers passed a compromise bill to avoid the fiscal cliff last week, however investors remained jittery over the longer term outlook, with negotiations on raising the U.S. debt ceiling still to come in February.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, January 7

Australia is to produce industry data on construction sector activity.

Tuesday, January 8

Australia is to release official data on the trade balance, the difference in value between imports and exports.

Later in the day, the U.S. is to release private sector data on economic optimism, as well as official data on consumer credit, which is closely linked to consumer spending.

Wednesday, January 9

Australia is to produce government data on retail sales, the leading indicator of consumer spending, which comprises the majority of economic activity.

The U.S. is to publish official data on crude oil inventories, while the U.S. Treasury is to hold an auction of 10-year government bonds.

Thursday, January 10

Australia is to produce official data on building approvals, a leading indicator of future construction activity.

Later Thursday, the U.S. is to publish the weekly government report on initial jobless claims.

Friday, January 11

The U.S. is also to round up the week with the government's report on the trade balance.

Investing.com
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Forex and Currencies

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