Emerson Misses, Lowers Guidance - Analyst Blog

By Zacks.com May 02, 2012, 05:13:01 PM EDT

Emerson Electric Company ( EMR ) released its second quarter 2012 earnings results, reporting earnings per share from continuing operations of 74 cents, which was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 81 cents. Earnings for the quarter were almost flat year over year, increasing 1%. Profits continue to be impacted by damage caused by Thailand floods.

Total revenue was $5.9 billion, up just 1% year over year. Underlying sales also increased only marginally by 2% (which included an unfavorable currency impact of 1%) with U.S. sales up 3%, Asia up 2% and Europe down 4%.

Weak economic conditions in Europe and China and continued weakness in HVAC, telecommunications, and information technology end markets contributed to the overall slow growth of the top line. However, this was partially offset by revival of the supply chain disrupted by Thailand flooding, coupled with robust global oil and gas investment that drove a strong recovery in Process Management compared to the first quarter of 2012.

Segment Results

The Industrial Automation segment reported sales decline of 2% primarily due to unstable demand of capital goods across its end markets. Underlying sales also contracted 1% and unfavorable currency translation was 1%, with U.S. down 1%, Asia down 1% while revenues from Europe were flat year over year.

Sales were flat in the U.S., due to weakness in the hermetic motors business driven by a sharp decline in compressor demand. Further, strong growth in the electrical distribution and ultrasonic welding businesses was offset by softness in the electrical drives and fluid automation businesses, as well as by continued challenges in the solar and wind energy industries.

Sales in the Network Power segment declined 4%, primarily attributable to mixed results across its businesses. Underlying sales also decreased 3%, with the U.S. contracting 4% and Europe down 13%, while Asia was up 3%.

Demand in the embedded computing and power business also declined substantially, as global customers were significantly affected by Thailand flooding, telecommunications and information technology end markets reflected broad weakness, and product line rationalization. Moreover, sales in the global uninterruptible power supply and precision cooling business grew slightly, as robust growth in the U.S. and solid growth in Asia was fully offset by weakness in Europe and Latin America. 

Revenue in the Process Management segment increased 13% year over year driven by strong global oil and gas investment. Further, strong chemical industry end markets, continued to drive demand for its business.

Underlying sales increased 14% and currency translation reduced revenue by 1%, with the U.S. up 24%, Asia up 10% and Europe up 4%.  Strong results were accomplished despite increased costs and other lingering effects from the supply chain disruption that are almost nearing complete recovery, which are expected to be complete by the end of fiscal 2012. 

Even with the supply chain restoration, backlog continued to increase as underlying orders grew 18%, excluding unfavorable currency of 4%. Emerson's Process Management division is poised for an exceptionally strong second half of 2012 and first half of 2013, as backlog conversion and the restored supply chain are expected to drive robust sales growth and operational leverage. 

Climate Technologies sales declined 9% during the quarter, due to global HVAC industry weakness. Underlying sales also decreased 9%, with the U.S. down 11%, Europe down 12% and Asia declining 9%. U.S. and China residential air conditioning end-market weakness was due to channel inventory reductions, while European markets were a challenge because of the economic headwind in the region.

China residential and light commercial construction has weakened in the last five months, as the government has curtailed investments to restrain inflation. However, the segment witnessed strong growth in its transport refrigeration business.

Balance Sheet

Operating cash flow for the second quarter declined 25% year over year to $562 million, due to decline in earnings and higher investment in working capital related to sales timing, supply chain disruption in Process Management. The company had a long term debt of $4.3 billion with a debt to capitalization ratio of 28.7% compared to a ratio od 30% in the previous quarter.

Outlook

Although, Emerson is optimistic about its outlook for 2012, the company had a tough start to the year. The positive outlook is based on the company's strong fundamentals in the industrial businesses and management expectations for improvement in telecommunications and HVAC end markets and recovery from the Thailand flooding disruptions. Further, the strengthening business in the Process Management division is also a major driving factor.

However, these partially offset by the impact of deterioration in the European economy and mixed global economic indicators.

Therefore, the company has lowered its outlook for fiscal 2012. Emerson now expects Underlying sales and orders growth of 3% to 5% compared to 4% to 6%, while reiterated its sales growth in the range of 2% to 4%. The operating profit margin is expected to be in the range of 17.5% to 17.8% compared to 18% while pretax margin is expected to be in the range of 15.0% to 15.3% compared to 15.5% mentioned earlier.

For fiscal 2012, earnings are expected to be in the range of $3.35 to $3.50 compared to $3.45 to $3.60 a share, mentioned earlier. Operating cash flow for 2012 is now expected to be in the range of $3.4 billion to $3.5 billion while capital expenditures are reiterated at $700 million.

Emerson currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 which implies a short-term Hold rating on the stock.
 


 
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Business, Stocks

Referenced Stocks: EMR



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