Earnings-Driven Trading History Guess? Features Opportunities for Longs and Shorts

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Guess? ( GES ) is due with its Q2 results in tonight's after-hours session, and analysts polled by Capital IQ expect the company to report a profit of $0.35 per share on revenue of $623 million.

In the last five years of performance data MT Newswires has tracked on GES, the stock has added to its earnings-driven extended-hours trade in next-day regular session action in 13 of the last 22 quarters.

Looking deeper into the performance data, GES has recorded an earnings-driven gain in the after-hours in 12 of the 22 quarters tracked in our database. In seven of those quarters, or 58% of the time, the stock has added to its upside in the following day's regular session. On the downside, GES has seen 10 earnings-driven after-hours declines, and it is recently favoring widening, adding to its negative trade six times, or 60% of the time.


On May 30, 2013, GES jumped 9.8% in evening trade after beating on Q1 earnings, meeting on sales and setting in-line to higher guidance. The stock narrowed its upside slightly the next day, closing the May 31 regular session up 8.2%.

On March 20, 2013, GES declined 6% in night trade after topping Q4 estimates but also issuing guidance below the Street view. The stock added to its downside the next day, closing the March 21 regular session off 7.1%.

On Nov. 28, 2012, GES jumped 5.7% in after-hours trade after posting mixed Q3 results. The stock lost the bulk of the gains the following day, ending the Nov. 29 regular session up 1.9%.

On March 20, 2013, GES slumped 6% in after-hours trade after beating on Q4 but also issuing weaker-than-expected guidance. The stock slid even more then next day, closing the March 21 regular session down 7.1%.

On Aug. 22, 2012, GES tumbled 15.7% in evening trade after coming in shy on Q2 EPS and setting its Q3 view below the Street estimates. The stock plummeted lower the next day, closing the Aug. 23 regular session off 22.6%.

On May 22, 2012, GES advanced 7.6% in after-hours trade after beating on Q1 and setting mixed guidance. The stock narrowed its gains slightly the next day, closing the May 23 regular session up 6.5%.

On March 14, 2012, GES cratered 11.8% in after-hours trade after missing Q4 revenue and setting weaker-than-expected guidance. The stock narrowed its downside slightly the next day, ending off 10.1% in the March 15 regular session.

On Nov. 30, 2011, GES edged up 0.5% in after-hours trade despite missing Q3 estimates and setting its guidance below expectations. The stock firmed higher the next day, closing the Dec. 1 regular session up 5.3%.

On Aug. 24, 2011, GES declined 4.4% in night trade after beating Q2 expectations but also guiding below Street estimates. The stock added to its downside the next day, closing the Aug. 25 regular session down 6.7%.

On May 25, 2011, GES soared 12.8% in after-hours trade after blowing past Q1 estimates. The stock narrowed its upside the next day, closing the May 26 regular session up 11.1%.

On Feb. 16, 2011, GES slumped 4.7% in after-hours trade after beating Q4 estimates but also setting its guidance below the Street view. The stock fell further the next day, closing the Feb. 17 regular session down 14%.

On Nov. 23, 2010, GES jumped 8% in night trade after blowing past expectations, establishing guidance above the Street view and setting a special $2 per share dividend. The stock added to its upside the following day, closing the Nov. 24 regular session up 10.5%.

On Aug. 25, 2010, GES dropped 7.8% in evening trade despite beating Q2 expectations. The stock tumbled lower the next day, closing the Aug. 26 regular session down 10.7%.

On May 27, 2010, GES slumped 7.3% in evening trade after beating Q1 estimates but issuing a disappointing Q2 outlook. The stock cut its downside the following day, closing the May 28 regular session down 0.4%.

On March 17, 2010, GES advanced 1.4% in after-hours trade after beating Q4 expectations and setting guidance in line to above the Street view. The stock held the same 1.4% advance in the March 18 regular session.

On Nov. 30, 2009, GES jumped 7.9% in after-hours trade after reporting better-than-expected results and guidance. The stock firmed higher the next day, closing the Dec. 1 regular session up 12.8%.

On Aug. 26, 2009, GES advanced 2% in after-hours trade after beating on Q2 but guiding mostly lower for its Q3. The stock continued heading higher the next day, closing the Aug. 27 regular session up 10.8%.

On June 4, 2009, GES advanced 5% in evening trade after reporting better-than-expected results and guidance. The stock ended the June 5 regular session up 5.7%.

On March 17, 2009, GES dipped 1.9% in after-hours action after beating Q4 estimates and issuing revenue guidance below the Street view. The stock reversed direction the following day, ending the March 18 regular session with a 14.1% gain.

On Dec. 4, 2008, GES added 1.7% in extended-hours trade after beating Q3 estimates but setting guidance below the Street view. The stock ramped higher the following day, rising 6.4% in the Dec. 5 regular session.

On Sept. 3, 2008, GES edged up 0.6% in the after-hours after topping Q2 estimates and setting guidance in a range that straddled the Street view. GES ended the Sept. 4 regular session with a 1.2% advance.



The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.

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This article appears in: Investing , Commodities

Referenced Stocks: GES

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