Earnings Preview: Hain Celestial - Analyst Blog

By Zacks.com May 01, 2012, 02:40:33 PM EDT

The Hain Celestial Group Inc . ( HAIN ), a leader in natural food and personal care products with an extensive portfolio of well-known brands, is slated to report its third-quarter 2012 financial results on Thursday, May 3, 2012.

The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter is 50 cents a share that reflects a growth of 38.9% from the prior-year quarter's earnings. The estimates in the current Zacks Consensus range between a low of 49 cents and a high of 52 cents a share. The Zacks Consensus revenue estimate is pegged at $405 million for the quarter under discussion.

Recap of Second-Quarter 2012

Rise in consumption, innovative marketing and expanded distribution facilitated Hain Celestial to register the historically highest sales and EPS numbers. The second-quarter earnings of 52 cents a share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 49 cents, and surged 33.3% from 39 cents delivered in the prior-year quarter.

Rise in demand for natural organic products proved to be boon for the company as revenue in the quarter rose 32.1% to $385.6 million from $291.9 million delivered in the prior-year quarter.  Moreover, the results were backed by healthy performances by the United States and Canadian operations as well as its recent acquisitions. The company's reported revenue came almost in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $386 million.

Hain Celestial stood by its earlier projection and expects revenue between $1,455 million and $1,480 million and earnings in the range of $1.63 to $1.73 per share for fiscal 2012.

Zacks Agreement & Magnitude

No movement was noticed in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the third quarter of 2012, either in the last 7 or 30 days, as the upward and downward revisions in the estimates made by the analysts have neutralized each other. In the last 30 days, 1 out of 10 analysts covering the stock increased the estimate and another analyst lowered the same. In the last 7 days as well, a similar movement was noticed.

Positive Earnings Surprise History

With respect to earnings surprises, Hain Celestial has topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the last four quarters in the range of 3.6% to 6.1%. The average remained at 5.4%. This suggests that Hain Celestial has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate by an average of 5.4% in the previous four quarters. Given the past performance, we expect the company to outperform the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the upcoming quarterly results.

Closing Comment

Hain Celestial offers investors one of the strongest growth profiles in the industry. The stock is poised to surge as the economy gradually revives and the appetite for organic foods gets bigger. We believe that the company remains well positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for organic products. During the second-quarter 2012 earnings call, management hinted that consumption in the U.S. increased 7%, which is quite a good number in this scenario.

Acquisitions have been a key part of the company's strategy to build market share. Not only did buyouts expand Hain Celestial's geographic reach, but also brought in opportunities to cross-sell its products in the U.S., Canadian and European markets. Notably, a healthy balance sheet enables the company to target strategic acquisition opportunities.

Following its growth plan, Hain Celestial completed the acquisition of U.K.-based marketer and manufacturer of fresh and frozen foods, Daniels Group, which is expected to amplify the sales of the company as it provides a gateway to a sturdy food and grocery market that is swiftly gaining ground. The frozen category represents over 50% of food sales in the U.K.

We currently have a long-term "Outperform" recommendation on the stock. However, Hain Celestial, which competes with General Mills Inc. ( GIS ) and Kraft Foods Inc. ( KFT ), holds a Zacks #3 Rank that translates into a short-term "Hold" rating.


 
GENL MILLS ( GIS ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
HAIN CELESTIAL ( HAIN ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
KRAFT FOODS INC ( KFT ): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Investing, Business, Stocks

Referenced Stocks: GIS, HAIN, KFT



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