Over the past decade, globalization has led to innovation and
novelty in the fields of cross border trade and investments; they
are no longer limited to the geographical boundaries and
jurisdiction of a particular nation.
While this has opened a door of vast opportunity for
individual investors, fund managers and corporations, in terms of
risk return tradeoff this falls in the high risk high return
category which might not be suitable for everyone. Coupled with
lack of understanding of most financial products, it has led to
many investors getting burned.
International investments and trade are subject to a series of
risk factors which actually involves much more than investing or
carrying out business in one's own country. While there are a
host of 'extra' risk factors that investors have to take care of
while investing outside their respective countries (example
geo-political risk, environmental risk, government regulations
etc), one factor which pretty much stands out from the rest is
currency risk (read
Three Currency ETFs Outperforming The Dollar
).
This is a recurring phenomenon, as exchange rates are
continuously changing and are functions of macroeconomic factors
such as central bank regulations, interest rates, inflation,
fiscal deficit, and trade deficit. Thus, investors have to keep
in mind a host of other factors (apart from the asset class they
have invested in) before considering international
investments.
Basically international investments are subject to 1)
Volatility of the asset class they have invested in, i.e. equity
market volatility for equity investments, credit rating and
effective duration to measure credit and interest rate risk in
case of fixed income investments (see
Forget Interest Rate Risk with These Bond
ETFs
), and 2) Volatility of the currency in which the invested assets
are denominated (i.e. exchange rate of asset denominated currency
versus the domestic currency).
This is particularly important as negative currency
fluctuations can virtually wipe out the entire returns from
investment abroad even if the asset class has been able to
provide the desired rate of return. In other words, the rate of
return for a U.S investor who has exposure in Brazilian equities
(denominated in Brazilian Real) is 8% which is in alignment to
his/her expected returns.
However in that time period if the U.S. dollar appreciates by
6% against the Brazilian Real, the effective rate of return on
the Brazilian investment will be 2% (8%-6%), wiping out almost
all of the returns. Conversely, if the Brazilian Real appreciates
6% versus the USD, the rate of return will be 14% (8%+6%) (see
more in the
Zacks ETF Center
).
Thus we see that currency movements do play a very important
role in determining the return on international investments.
However, for investors seeking a basket approach to international
investments without being subject to the currency risk factor, we
have the
Currency Hedged
ETFs
.
These innovative products provide investors the pure exposure
in foreign assets
less
currency risk. These currency hedged ETFs provide exposure to the
equity markets of the countries/broad regions they track at the
same time maintaining U.S. dollar neutrality with the help of
currency futures.
Therefore, the investors are only concerned about the core
returns from their investments as the currency risk (against a
probable U.S dollar appreciation) is mitigated (read
Is It Time to Buy the Hedged Currency ETFs?
).
Sounds interesting? Maybe it does, but these intriguing
products have been unable to capture the interest of the
investors and have been extremely unpopular. The following table
shows various characteristics of the Currency Hedged ETFs.
Table 1
|
ETF
|
Country/ Region Exposure
|
Total Assets
|
Average Daily Volume
|
Bid-Ask Spread
|
Expense Ratio
|
Asset Inflow/ (Outflow) Q1-Q3 2012
|
YTD Returns (as of 30
th
September 2012)
|
|
DXJ
|
Japan
|
610.86 million
|
177,901
|
0.12%
|
0.48%
|
+$204.66 million
|
0.89%
|
|
DBBR
|
Brazil
|
4.16 million
|
6,800
|
1.52%
|
0.60%
|
-$0.02 million
|
-10.54%
|
|
DBCN
|
Canada
|
4.60 million
|
750
|
1.25%
|
0.50%
|
-$0.02 million
|
3.80%
|
|
DBJP
|
Japan
|
4.76 million
|
5000
|
2.05%
|
0.50%
|
-$0.02 million
|
-0.18%
|
|
DBEF
|
Europe, Australasia, Far East
|
14.16 million
|
27,000
|
1.92%
|
0.35%
|
-$13.57 million
|
3.62%
|
|
DBEM
|
Emerging Markets
|
4.47 million
|
7,400
|
7.30%
|
0.65%
|
-$0.02 million
|
-0.95%
|
|
HEDJ
|
Developed Europe
|
24.82 million
|
10,000
|
0.73%
|
0.58%
|
+$5.17 million
|
6.74%
|
Source: 1) Average Daily Volume and Bid-Ask Spread
from
xtf.com
, ii) Asset Fund flow from
indexuniverse.com
.
As we can see, apart from DXJ, other ETFs from the currency
ETF space have been clearly lagging behind in terms of total
assets and total traded volume.
In fact, the extremely thin average daily volume of these ETFs
have primarily caused their market prices to remain stagnant over
time even if the per unit value of the underlying basket of
securities i.e. Net asset value (NAV) have moved significantly.
This has caused many of them to post significantly lower market
price returns than their NAV returns and the Index Returns.
For example, the market price returns for
db-X MSCI Brazil Currency Hedged Equity ETF (
DBBR
)
for one year ending as of 30
th
September 2012 is -10.54%, however, for the same time period the
NAV returns and the index i.e. The
MSCI Brazil US Dollar Hedged Index
returns are -2.04% and 1.56% respectively.
Similarly, for the
db-X MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Hedged Equity ETF
(
DBEM
)
the difference between market price returns and the NAV/Index
returns is quite significant. For the same time period the NAV
and Index i.e
. MSCI EM US Dollar Hedged Index
returned 4.92% and 8.71% respectively compared to its market
price returns of -0.95% (read
France's Credit Downgrade: How Does it Impact the
French ETF?
).
Also, the paltry asset base for most of the currency hedged
ETFs coupled with lower traded volume gives rise to high bid-ask
spreads that in turn can lead to higher costs for investment in
these products.
Another consideration is that the fund flow data from these
ETFs have been on the negative side for most of these ETFs so far
this fiscal year indicating almost no appetite for these
ETFs.
This is especially surprising as the macroeconomic factors
were favorable for the same ETFs, primarily thanks to a strong
dollar which has been one of the strongest currencies so far this
year, serving as the safe haven currency for investors in these
volatile times (read
Volatility ETFs: Three Factors Investors Must
Know
).
Therefore, technically these ETFs should have gained in terms
of asset base as investors seeking exposure in foreign currency
denominated assets seek to minimize the impact of the rising
dollar.
However, having said this it is prudent to note that the
WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (
DXJ
)
stands out handsomely ahead of the rest of the pack having
amassed an inflow of $204.66 million in its asset base suggesting
that this is pretty much the only ETF from this space that has
been able to grab investor attention.
While it is difficult to ascertain the exact reason for lack
of popularity for these products, it is pretty certain that
Currency Hedged ETFs surely are decent choices and cost effective
tools to minimize currency risk for investors seeking
international exposure.
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DB-X MS BRZ CUR (DBBR): ETF Research Reports
DB-X MS CDA CUR (DBCN): ETF Research Reports
DB-X MS EAF CUR (DBEF): ETF Research Reports
DB-X MS EMG MKT (DBEM): ETF Research Reports
DB-X MS JPN CUR (DBJP): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-J HEF (DXJ): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-I HE FD (HEDJ): ETF Research Reports
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