Cummins Cut to Underperform - Analyst Blog

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On Dec 20, we downgraded Cummins Inc. ( CMI ) to Underperform from Neutral. The downward revision was based on the weakness in operating markets, especially India, high competition and expectations of revenue decline.

Why the Downgrade?

On Oct 29, Cummins posted net earnings of $362 million or $1.94 per share (excluding special items) in the third quarter of 2013, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.10 per share. However, earnings increased from $336 million or $1.78 per share in the comparable year-ago quarter.

Following the release of the third quarter results, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cummins' 2013 earnings decreased 6.3% to $7.57 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2014 dropped 5.4% to $9.32 per share. Currently, Cummins retains a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).

We are concerned about the weakness in operating markets, which could mar the results of the company. Cummins is witnessing a challenging situation mainly in India. Demand from India declined by 25% in third-quarter 2013 due to weak industrial activity and rising inflation.

Moreover, Cummins operates under a highly competitive environment. New technologies, including those developed for gasoline, will provide further competition for the company.

In addition, Cummins now expects revenues to decline 3% from the 2012 level, against the earlier guidance of in-line results. The company also slashed its 2013 EBIT margin guidance to 12.5%-13% from 13%-14%.

Other Stocks to Consider

Tower International, Inc. ( TOWR ), Gentex Corp. ( GNTX ) and Lear Corp. ( LEA ), all with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), are performing well in the auto and truck industry.



CUMMINS INC (CMI): Free Stock Analysis Report

GENTEX CORP (GNTX): Free Stock Analysis Report

LEAR CORPORATN (LEA): Free Stock Analysis Report

TOWER INTL INC (TOWR): Free Stock Analysis Report

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.



This article appears in: Investing , Business , Stocks

Referenced Stocks: CMI , GNTX , LEA , TOWR

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