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Crude oil futures - Weekly outlook: January 14 - 18

By Investing.com January 13, 2013, 03:13:20 AM EDT

Investing.com - Crude oil futures ended Friday's session lower, retreating from a four-month high after data showing growing inflation pressure in China dampened hopes for fresh stimulus from the world's second largest oil consumer.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude futures for delivery in February declined 0.1% Friday to settle the week at USD93.72 a barrel by close of trade.

Prices rose to USD94.69 a barrel on Thursday, the strongest level since September 19, as the U.S. dollar came under heavy selling pressure after the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 0.75% and said a gradual economic recovery would begin this year.

Robust Chinese trade data further supported gains. Chinese exports grew 14.1% from a year earlier in December, blowing past expectations for a 5% gain and up from a 2.9% increase in November.

On the week, New York-traded oil futures added 0.7%, the fifth consecutive weekly gain.

Oil's losses on Friday came after official data showed that consumer price inflation in China accelerated to a seven-month high of 2.5% in December, up from 2% in November and above expectations for a 2.3% increase.

Politically sensitive food costs accelerated 4.2% in December from a year earlier. The rise in Chinese food costs was driven by a 14.8% increase in the price of vegetables.

The higher-than-expected reading dented expectations Beijing will introduce fresh monetary easing measures in the near-term to boost growth in the world's second largest economy.

China is the world's second largest oil consumer after the U.S. and has been the engine of strengthening demand.

In the week ahead, investors will be anticipating a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on monetary policy and the recovery from the global financial crisis on Monday, as well as Tuesday's data on U.S. retail sales for December.

Market players will also be awaiting data from China on fourth quarter gross domestic product for signs of a recovery in the world's second-largest economy.

Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil futures for February delivery dropped 1.2% Friday to settle the week at USD110.58 a barrel.

The London-traded Brent contract lost 0.75% over the week, while the spread between the Brent and the crude contracts stood at USD16.86 a barrel, the lowest level since September.

The spread between the two contracts narrowed to a four-month low following the restart of the Seaway pipeline on Friday, which was shut since January 2 to complete a major expansion.

The expanded line will help alleviate a glut of crude in the Midwest.

The flow to the Gulf from Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for the NYMEX oil futures contract, grew to 400,000 barrels a day from the previous 150,000 barrels a day.

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This article appears in: Investing, Forex and Currencies

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