Could This Company Be The Next Berkshire Hathaway?


One hundred seventy thousand dollars.

That's roughly how much one share of Berkshire Hathaway Class A (NYSE: BRK-A) stock is selling for these days.

Imagine if you had been one of the fortunate few to invest inWarren Buffett 's young company back in 1967, whenshares were trading for $20.50. Right now, you would be sitting on a total nominalgain of 829,460%.

But nowadays, Berkshire has, to some degree, become a victim of its own success. Buffett has often said that the company's current size ($278 billionmarket cap) has made future growth more difficult.

"Size is the anchor of performance. There is no question about it," Buffett has said. "It doesn'tmean you can't do better than average as you get larger, but themargin shrinks." 

Of course, having too muchmoney is a problem most of us would like to have. And I certainly don't mean to imply that Berkshire is a badinvestment .

But it does beg the question -- are there any other publicly traded companies that could be the next Berkshire? Are there any companies currently on the market that share Buffett and partner Charlie Munger's penchant for valueinvesting , long-term holdings, and the use of insurancefloat to generate big returns?

While many investing firms have sought to imitate Berkshire's success over the years, I'd like to tell you about one company in particular that's on track to follow the same path. 

Like Berkshire, Alleghany Corp. ( Y ) is an investment holding company that uses a value-oriented strategy to acquire interests in businesses andequity holdings. And, like Berkshire, it generally holds theseinvestments for long-term periods. Through subsidiaries such as RSUI Group, Capitol Transamerica, Pacific Compensation and Transatlantic Holdings, the company sells specialty insurance and property-casualty insurance. 

In 2012, the company gained exposure to the reinsurance industry through itsacquisition of Transatlantic Holdings. Alleghany also ownsreal estate and minority stakes in energy-related companies.

While its $6.4 billionmarket cap is much smaller than Berkshire's, Alleghany uses a similar strategy to generate returns. It collects insurance premiums paid by customers and invests this money (called float) for its own benefit. This is the same strategy that Berkshire has successfully employed for years through such insurance holdings as GEICO and General Re.

StreetAuthority investing guru Amy Calistri has covered the profitable opportunities from this ingenious investing strategy many times. In her October 2012issue of Stock of the Month , she wrote:

"Reinsurance companiesprofit by collecting more premiums than they pay out in claims. But they can make much more money if they invest those premiums wisely."

Alleghany's recent acquisition of Transatlantic Holdings has produced exceptional returns. The company doubled pretaxearnings for the first quarter of thisyear compared with the same period last year. Core specialty insurance holding RSUI Group reportedunderwriting income of $57 million, up 30% from the year before.

At the close of 2012, Alleghany reported common stockholders' equity per share of $379.13, a 10.8% increase over the previous year.

These results come in spite of significant losses due to Hurricane Sandy, which cost the company a reported $268 million in claims. 

For the five-year period that ended Dec. 31, 2012, the company reported that common stockholders' equity per share increased at acompound annual rate of 6.1%, compared with a compound annualrate of return of 1.6% for the S&P 500 over the same time.

The company is trading at a forwardprice-to-earnings ratio of 12 and a price-to-book ratio of 1.0.Analysts predict annualrevenue to grow at a rate of 6% over the next seven years. Return on equity is forecast at 10% in the shortterm but should rise to 12% once the Transatlantic acquisition is fully integrated.

The firm uses growth inbook value as the metric for compensation in the form ofrestricted stock . This system helps keep management's interests aligned with shareholders'. 

Management has also indicated that it plans to begin makingprivate equity investments, which, if done correctly, could lead to additional growth opportunities.

Risks to Consider: To finance the Transatlantic deal, Alleghany issued roughly $2.7 billion worth of stock. While the deal appears to have been a success, issuing new shares to pay for acquisitions (as opposed to using existingcapital ) can be a risky proposition if the deal doesn't work as planned. In this respect, the company differs significantly from the strategy employed by Berkshire, which doesn't issue new shares tofund an acquisition. 

In addition, insurance companies are subject to unpredictable losses stemming from events such as natural disasters or terrorist attacks. 

Action to Take --> Alleghany appears to be fairly valued at today's prices. While it may never achieve the lofty heights that Berkshire Hathaway has attained, it remains a solid, stable company that has outperformed the broader market year after year. 

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.

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This article appears in: Investing , Investing Ideas , Stocks

Referenced Stocks: Y



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