CORRECT: Apple Becomes Most Valuable Company, So What's Next?
(The story "Apple Again Becomes Most Valuable Company, So What's Next?" at 9:
56 a.m. ET incorrectly reported Apple's cash holdings in the second paragraph. A
corrected version follows.)
By Shara Tibken and George Stahl
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- Apple Inc. (AAPL) reclaimed the title of the world's
most valuable company after reporting historic fourth-quarter results thanks to
the surging popularity of its smartphone and tablet computer.
However, even as investors digest Apple's impressive performance in the final
quarter of 2011, the following questions are already being asked: What's next?
How can Apple maintain this momentum? And what will the company do with its
nearly $100 billion in cash?
The company has its eye on televisions, and it is expected to release a new
iPad this year, according to people familiar with the matter. But as is usually
the case, Apple gave few clues Tuesday about its future plans and simply
suggested that things were going in the right direction.
"Apple's momentum is incredibly strong, and we have some amazing new products
in the pipeline," Chief Executive Tim Cook said in a statement.
That momentum has made the Cupertino, Calif., company the world's most
valuable company on Tuesday, surpassing Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM). Apple shares
rose 6.6% in early trading to $448.21, giving it a market value of $417.7
billion, according to FactSet Research, above the $414.2 billion valuation on
Exxon Mobil.
As for its future plans, though, Apple offered few specifics.
Regarding its $97.6 billion in cash, Apple said officials were discussing ways
to use it, but that they didn't have anything to announce Tuesday. And while
Apple noted the sale of more than 1.4 million Apple TV products in the fourth
quarter, it reiterated that the TV business was just a "hobby." In addition,
Apple declined to speculate on whether reports of a pending new iPad may dampen
sales of the current one, as happened to the iPhone in the quarter preceding the
new smartphone in October.
How Apple handles and builds on its success is a concern because of questions
about the impact from the death of its founder and visionary, Steve Jobs, in
October.
"The major risk in the Apple story is that the company may no longer be able
to innovate at the same rapid pace or with the same disruption that
characterized the era when Steve Jobs was at the helm," Needham analyst Charlie
Wolf said.
At least in the short term, business is strong, as Apple's guidance indicates.
Usually a conservative company, Apple provided an outlook for the current
quarter that already was better than analysts were expecting.
Also easing concerns is Apple's cash hoard, which again caused analysts to
speculate about share buybacks or a dividend. BMO Capital Markets analyst Keith
Bachman noted that even if Apple instituted a 2% dividend--the average yield of
companies in the S&P 500--it still would have a total cash balance of $165
billion to $170 billion at the end of its fiscal 2013.
"Importantly, we believe that by paying a dividend, Apple could open up the
stock to a new class of shareholders," Bachman said. "Net, we believe either a
stock buyback or dividend would not impact Apple's cash balance, but would
benefit the stock's multiple."
Even with Apple's stock soaring to all-time highs, analysts say it has room to
grow. Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty said the shares "discount a
significant deceleration in top-line growth" that she believes is unjustified.
Huberty noted that in addition to the company's near-term drivers of upside--
iPhone shipments, a new MacBook Air and a new iPad--Apple also has some longer
term drivers. Those include an iPhone that uses speedier 4G wireless networks; a
larger tablet market; overseas expansion, particularly in China; and the
potential for Apple to enter the TV market.
While other consumer electronics companies are racing to catch up with Apple,
ISI Group analyst Brian Marshall said there are only "minimal real competitive
threats" to Apple's major product families this year.
"In our view, if something were to go wrong with the story, it would mostly
likely result from idiosyncratic misexecution on the part of [Apple] or a
material change in support from the global carrier community," Marshall said.
But he said both are unlikely given Apple's historical track record and that
the company should have "smooth sailing" over the next few quarters.
-By Shara Tibken and George Stahl, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2189;
shara.tibken@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
01-25-121025ET
Copyright (c) 2012 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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