Chico's Price Pattern Has Positive Traits

By Investor's Business Daily July 06, 2012, 04:39:00 PM EDT

RetailerChico's FAS ( CHS ) may have dropped off the radar for many growth investors for some time, but the stock is now showing some positive attributes as a new base forms.

The stock is in a 10-week-old consolidation with a 16.17 potential buy point. Chico's shares corrected 16% vs. 42% for a base that ran from July 2011 to April.

Unlike its prior pattern, which showed some wide-and-loose action, trading in the current structure is much tighter.

Chico's has also showed signs of professional buying. The stock's Accumulation-Distribution Rating has improved to B+ from C last month. Its up-down volume ratio has climbed to 1.4 from 1.1 three weeks ago. Readings above 1.0 signal positive demand.

The Pittsburgh, Pa.-based firm runs its namesake Chico's women's boutiques, as well as White House-Black Market, Soma Intimates and Boston Proper stores.

Chico's has been on the comeback trail after some rough times. After earning $1.06 a share in the fiscal 2005, which ended in January 2006, its profits weakened more and it posted a loss in fiscal 2008. But the company has been profitable each year since then. In the latest fiscal year, it earned 84 cents a share.

Because Chico's earnings performance was volatile in much of 2007-09, its Earnings Stability Factor is low. But EPS gains have been steady since 2010.

The company in May reported that profit rose 23% to 32 cents a share in the April-ended quarter. Revenue grew 21% to $650.8 million, the second straight quarter of accelerating growth.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters see earning rising 24% to $1.04 a share this year. The estimate was recently revised higher.

Chico's is a relative newcomer to paying dividends. It started in March 2010, paying 4 cents a share per quarter. The company has raised its payout twice. It currently pays 5.25 cents a share per quarter, or 21 cents on an annualized basis.

The dividend has a yield of about 1.4%, which is on the low end of Chico's dividend-paying peers. But Chico's has a Composite Rating of 98, one of the highest in the apparel-store industry group.




The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.


This article appears in: Personal Finance, Investing Ideas

Referenced Stocks: CHS



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